Market icon

2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

3rd hottest 39%

2nd hottest 16%

1st hottest 10%

4th or lower 50%

NEW

Reglas

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record.

Note: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Volumen
$282
Fecha de finalización
Mar 10, 2026
Creado en
Jan 30, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record. Note: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Market icon

2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

3rd hottest 39%

2nd hottest 16%

1st hottest 10%

4th or lower 50%

NEW

1st hottest

$150 Vol.

10%

2nd hottest

$20 Vol.

16%

3rd hottest

$21 Vol.

39%

4th or lower

$91 Vol.

50%

Acerca de

Volumen
$282
Fecha de finalización
Mar 10, 2026
Creado en
Jan 30, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.