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Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?

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Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$137,770 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$137,770 Vol.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. If necessary, a second round will be held on October 19, 2025. To win in the first round outright, one presidential candidate must secure over 50% of the valid votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead over the second-place candidate.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
Volumen
$137,770
Fecha de finalización
Aug 17, 2025
Mercado abierto
Jul 15, 2025, 3:54 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. If necessary, a second round will be held on October 19, 2025. To win in the first round outright, one presidential candidate must secure over 50% of the valid votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead over the second-place candidate. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. If necessary, a second round will be held on October 19, 2025. To win in the first round outright, one presidential candidate must secure over 50% of the valid votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead over the second-place candidate.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
Volumen
$137,770
Fecha de finalización
Aug 17, 2025
Mercado abierto
Jul 15, 2025, 3:54 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. If necessary, a second round will be held on October 19, 2025. To win in the first round outright, one presidential candidate must secure over 50% of the valid votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead over the second-place candidate. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 0% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 0¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?" ha generado $137.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 15, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?" es 0% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.