Market icon
Política·Presidencia De Trump

Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?

Market icon
Política·Presidencia De Trump

Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?

Other 99.6%

Mike Waltz <1%

Tom Cotton <1%

Mike Pompeo <1%

Polymarket

$353,317 Vol.

Other 99.6%

Mike Waltz <1%

Tom Cotton <1%

Mike Pompeo <1%

Polymarket

$353,317 Vol.

Market icon

Mike Waltz

$73,869 Vol.

No

Market icon

Tom Cotton

$45,727 Vol.

No

Market icon

Mike Pompeo

$89,416 Vol.

No

Market icon

Christopher Miller

$44,950 Vol.

No

Market icon

Robert O’Brien

$40,699 Vol.

No

Market icon

Mike Gallagher

$33,605 Vol.

No

Market icon

Other

$2,200 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Joni Ernst

$22,852 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Mike Waltz for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Tom Cotton for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Mike Pompeo for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Christopher Miller for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Robert O’Brien for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Mike Gallagher for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates someone other than any of the named candidates in the group for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve at the time of Trump's nomination, at which point if the nominee is none of the named candidates in this market's group, it will resolve to "Yes." This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Joni Ernst for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Mike Waltz for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$353,317
Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2025
Mercado abierto
Nov 6, 2024, 3:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Mike Waltz for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Mike Waltz for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Tom Cotton for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Mike Pompeo for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Christopher Miller for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Robert O’Brien for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Mike Gallagher for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates someone other than any of the named candidates in the group for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve at the time of Trump's nomination, at which point if the nominee is none of the named candidates in this market's group, it will resolve to "Yes." This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Joni Ernst for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Other" con 100%, seguido de "Mike Waltz" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?" ha generado $353.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 6, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?" es "Other" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Mike Waltz" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.