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Política·Primarias

¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de Alaska?

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Política·Primarias

¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de Alaska?

$17,870 Vol.

Aug 18, 2026
Polymarket

$17,870 Vol.

Polymarket

Tom Begich

$0 Vol.

80%

Bernadette Wilson

$13,820 Vol.

65%

Dave Bronson

$1,476 Vol.

52%

Treg Taylor

$0 Vol.

41%

Click Bishop

$0 Vol.

41%

Adam Crum

$0 Vol.

21%

Nancy Dahlstrom

$0 Vol.

16%

Hank Kroll

$0 Vol.

14%

Matt Heilala

$2,573 Vol.

13%

Matt Claman

$0 Vol.

11%

Edna DeVries

$0 Vol.

10%

Shelley Hughes

$0 Vol.

9%

James Parkin

$0 Vol.

6%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.With Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, Alaska's open-seat gubernatorial top-four primary on August 18 draws a crowded field of over a dozen candidates, mostly Republicans, fragmenting the GOP vote and elevating Democrat Tom Begich as the frontrunner in trader consensus and early polls. A February Lake Research survey (Begich sponsor) showed him at 38%, well ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson (16%), Dave Bronson (13%), and Click Bishop (8%), reflecting his strong fundraising and name recognition. Polymarket traders price Begich's advancement at 80%, Wilson at 73%, Bronson at 53%, and Bishop at 56%, betting on Republican vote-splitting. Filing closes June 1, with debates and fresh polls ahead that could consolidate the field.

With Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, Alaska's open-seat gubernatorial top-four primary on August 18 draws a crowded field of over a dozen candidates, mostly Republicans, fragmenting the GOP vote and elevating Democrat Tom Begich as the frontrunner in trader consensus and early polls. A February Lake Research survey (Begich sponsor) showed him at 38%, well ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson (16%), Dave Bronson (13%), and Click Bishop (8%), reflecting his strong fundraising and name recognition. Polymarket traders price Begich's advancement at 80%, Wilson at 73%, Bronson at 53%, and Bishop at 56%, betting on Republican vote-splitting. Filing closes June 1, with debates and fresh polls ahead that could consolidate the field.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.With Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, Alaska's open-seat gubernatorial top-four primary on August 18 draws a crowded field of over a dozen candidates, mostly Republicans, fragmenting the GOP vote and elevating Democrat Tom Begich as the frontrunner in trader consensus and early polls. A February Lake Research survey (Begich sponsor) showed him at 38%, well ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson (16%), Dave Bronson (13%), and Click Bishop (8%), reflecting his strong fundraising and name recognition. Polymarket traders price Begich's advancement at 80%, Wilson at 73%, Bronson at 53%, and Bishop at 56%, betting on Republican vote-splitting. Filing closes June 1, with debates and fresh polls ahead that could consolidate the field.

With Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, Alaska's open-seat gubernatorial top-four primary on August 18 draws a crowded field of over a dozen candidates, mostly Republicans, fragmenting the GOP vote and elevating Democrat Tom Begich as the frontrunner in trader consensus and early polls. A February Lake Research survey (Begich sponsor) showed him at 38%, well ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson (16%), Dave Bronson (13%), and Click Bishop (8%), reflecting his strong fundraising and name recognition. Polymarket traders price Begich's advancement at 80%, Wilson at 73%, Bronson at 53%, and Bishop at 56%, betting on Republican vote-splitting. Filing closes June 1, with debates and fresh polls ahead that could consolidate the field.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de Alaska?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tom Begich" con 80%, seguido de "Bernadette Wilson" con 65%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 80¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de Alaska?" ha generado $17.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 10, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de Alaska?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de Alaska?" es "Tom Begich" con 80%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Bernadette Wilson" con 65%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de Alaska?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.