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¿Qué países se unirán a la Junta de Paz antes del 31 de marzo?

Market icon

¿Qué países se unirán a la Junta de Paz antes del 31 de marzo?

$2,685,105 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

$2,685,105 Vol.

Polymarket

India

$45,811 Vol.

3%

Italia

$194,530 Vol.

3%

Bélgica

$37,510 Vol.

1%

Reino Unido

$68,644 Vol.

1%

Finlandia

$558,162 Vol.

1%

España

$99,550 Vol.

1%

Francia

$0 Vol.

1%

Suecia

$148,639 Vol.

1%

Alemania

$93,917 Vol.

1%

Rusia

$273,598 Vol.

1%

Dinamarca

$343,289 Vol.

1%

Países Bajos

$280,432 Vol.

1%

Suiza

$50,062 Vol.

1%

Noruega

$163,810 Vol.

<1%

Palestina

$0 Vol.

<1%

Brasil

$29,132 Vol.

<1%

Ucrania

$77,776 Vol.

<1%

China

$117,456 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days on countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, leaving trader consensus shaped by prior diplomatic postures and institutional procedures for membership accession. The Board of Peace, an international body focused on conflict resolution and peacekeeping coordination, requires formal invitations, negotiations, and official ratifications for new members, with no recent announcements from key actors like major powers or regional blocs signaling imminent joins. Bettors should monitor diplomatic summits, foreign ministry statements, and treaty filings in the coming weeks, as late-breaking bilateral agreements or multilateral endorsements could shift probabilities before the resolution deadline. Historical patterns show such boards expand slowly amid geopolitical tensions.

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:

- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.

- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).

Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.

Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.

Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,685,105
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days on countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, leaving trader consensus shaped by prior diplomatic postures and institutional procedures for membership accession. The Board of Peace, an international body focused on conflict resolution and peacekeeping coordination, requires formal invitations, negotiations, and official ratifications for new members, with no recent announcements from key actors like major powers or regional blocs signaling imminent joins. Bettors should monitor diplomatic summits, foreign ministry statements, and treaty filings in the coming weeks, as late-breaking bilateral agreements or multilateral endorsements could shift probabilities before the resolution deadline. Historical patterns show such boards expand slowly amid geopolitical tensions.

No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days on countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, leaving trader consensus shaped by prior diplomatic postures and institutional procedures for membership accession. The Board of Peace, an international body focused on conflict resolution and peacekeeping coordination, requires formal invitations, negotiations, and official ratifications for new members, with no recent announcements from key actors like major powers or regional blocs signaling imminent joins. Bettors should monitor diplomatic summits, foreign ministry statements, and treaty filings in the coming weeks, as late-breaking bilateral agreements or multilateral endorsements could shift probabilities before the resolution deadline. Historical patterns show such boards expand slowly amid geopolitical tensions.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué países se unirán a la Junta de Paz antes del 31 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 21 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Israel" con 100%, seguido de "Turquía" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué países se unirán a la Junta de Paz antes del 31 de marzo?" ha generado $2.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 21, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué países se unirán a la Junta de Paz antes del 31 de marzo?", explora los 21 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué países se unirán a la Junta de Paz antes del 31 de marzo?" es "Israel" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Turquía" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué países se unirán a la Junta de Paz antes del 31 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.