Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism about any countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, with low implied probabilities across potential candidates amid a lack of official announcements or diplomatic momentum. No primary sources from governments or international bodies confirm the existence of an active "Board of Peace" recruitment process, and recent global tensions—such as ongoing Ukraine and Middle East conflicts—have prioritized bilateral talks over new multilateral peace structures. Historical precedents for similar initiatives, like the 2022 Ukraine Peace Summit, show slow formation with few joiners by tight deadlines. Upcoming UN General Assembly sessions in late March could spark developments, but current evidence points to inertia driving bearish sentiment on participation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$1,798,846 Vol.
Rusia
2%
India
2%
Ucrania
2%
Palestina
2%
Reino Unido
2%
Italia
2%
Bélgica
1%
Alemania
1%
Brasil
1%
Suecia
1%
Noruega
1%
Francia
1%
Finlandia
1%
España
1%
Dinamarca
1%
Países Bajos
1%
Suiza
1%
China
1%
$1,798,846 Vol.
Rusia
2%
India
2%
Ucrania
2%
Palestina
2%
Reino Unido
2%
Italia
2%
Bélgica
1%
Alemania
1%
Brasil
1%
Suecia
1%
Noruega
1%
Francia
1%
Finlandia
1%
España
1%
Dinamarca
1%
Países Bajos
1%
Suiza
1%
China
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 20, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism about any countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, with low implied probabilities across potential candidates amid a lack of official announcements or diplomatic momentum. No primary sources from governments or international bodies confirm the existence of an active "Board of Peace" recruitment process, and recent global tensions—such as ongoing Ukraine and Middle East conflicts—have prioritized bilateral talks over new multilateral peace structures. Historical precedents for similar initiatives, like the 2022 Ukraine Peace Summit, show slow formation with few joiners by tight deadlines. Upcoming UN General Assembly sessions in late March could spark developments, but current evidence points to inertia driving bearish sentiment on participation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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