Trader consensus reflects low probabilities for additional countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, with Brazil at 9.9¢ Yes leading amid reports of informal interest but no official announcement. No new members have signed on since February's inaugural Washington meeting, as escalating Middle East tensions—including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran and threats to the Strait of Hormuz—have halted momentum. Indonesia paused engagement due to domestic protests over the $1 billion membership fee and perceived neocolonialism, while EU states like France, Germany, and the UK cite governance concerns centered on Chairman Donald Trump's authority and potential UN usurpation. Last-minute diplomatic announcements remain possible before resolution, but crowdsourced odds imply stasis.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$3,313,020 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Brasil
4%
India
3%
Reino Unido
1%
Italia
1%
Bélgica
1%
España
1%
Finlandia
1%
Francia
1%
Suecia
1%
Alemania
1%
Rusia
1%
Suiza
1%
Dinamarca
1%
Países Bajos
1%
Noruega
<1%
Palestina
<1%
China
<1%
Ucrania
<1%
$3,313,020 Vol.
Brasil
$29,232 Vol.
4%
India
$46,282 Vol.
3%
Reino Unido
$125,911 Vol.
1%
Italia
$194,702 Vol.
1%
Bélgica
$37,579 Vol.
1%
España
$100,138 Vol.
1%
Finlandia
$577,867 Vol.
1%
Francia
$62,725 Vol.
1%
Suecia
$225,354 Vol.
1%
Alemania
$108,123 Vol.
1%
Rusia
$274,198 Vol.
1%
Suiza
$50,066 Vol.
1%
Dinamarca
$343,307 Vol.
1%
Países Bajos
$280,441 Vol.
1%
Noruega
$511,179 Vol.
<1%
Palestina
$43,679 Vol.
<1%
China
$119,351 Vol.
<1%
Ucrania
$80,102 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects low probabilities for additional countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, with Brazil at 9.9¢ Yes leading amid reports of informal interest but no official announcement. No new members have signed on since February's inaugural Washington meeting, as escalating Middle East tensions—including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran and threats to the Strait of Hormuz—have halted momentum. Indonesia paused engagement due to domestic protests over the $1 billion membership fee and perceived neocolonialism, while EU states like France, Germany, and the UK cite governance concerns centered on Chairman Donald Trump's authority and potential UN usurpation. Last-minute diplomatic announcements remain possible before resolution, but crowdsourced odds imply stasis.
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Volumen
$3,313,020Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects low probabilities for additional countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, with Brazil at 9.9¢ Yes leading amid reports of informal interest but no official announcement. No new members have signed on since February's inaugural Washington meeting, as escalating Middle East tensions—including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran and threats to the Strait of Hormuz—have halted momentum. Indonesia paused engagement due to domestic protests over the $1 billion membership fee and perceived neocolonialism, while EU states like France, Germany, and the UK cite governance concerns centered on Chairman Donald Trump's authority and potential UN usurpation. Last-minute diplomatic announcements remain possible before resolution, but crowdsourced odds imply stasis.
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,313,020Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects low probabilities for additional countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, with Brazil at 9.9¢ Yes leading amid reports of informal interest but no official announcement. No new members have signed on since February's inaugural Washington meeting, as escalating Middle East tensions—including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran and threats to the Strait of Hormuz—have halted momentum. Indonesia paused engagement due to domestic protests over the $1 billion membership fee and perceived neocolonialism, while EU states like France, Germany, and the UK cite governance concerns centered on Chairman Donald Trump's authority and potential UN usurpation. Last-minute diplomatic announcements remain possible before resolution, but crowdsourced odds imply stasis.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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