US and Israel launched large-scale airstrikes against Iranian military, nuclear, and missile sites starting February 28, 2026, with over 11,000 targets hit by late March per US Central Command, anchoring trader focus amid ongoing escalation. Iran retaliated with missile barrages on Israeli cities, US bases in Saudi Arabia including Prince Sultan Air Base, and Gulf states, injuring US troops and sparking fires at key facilities as recently as March 27-29. UK, France, and Germany signaled readiness for defensive strikes on Iranian launch capabilities following early March attacks, while Saudi Arabia and UAE weigh direct participation if energy infrastructure is targeted further. Upcoming US ground operation preparations and Strait of Hormuz tensions could prompt coalition expansion by April 30 resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoWhich countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$466,003 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Saudi Arabia
29%
UAE
20%
Bahrain
9%
Kuwait
7%
Any E.U. Country
7%
Qatar
6%
Jordan
5%
France
5%
Turkey
4%
Oman
4%
UK
3%
Germany
3%
Canada
1%
$466,003 Vol.
Saudi Arabia
$75,021 Vol.
29%
UAE
$38,513 Vol.
20%
Bahrain
$780 Vol.
9%
Kuwait
$1,273 Vol.
7%
Any E.U. Country
$5,323 Vol.
7%
Qatar
$727 Vol.
6%
Jordan
$926 Vol.
5%
France
$148,533 Vol.
5%
Turkey
$15,006 Vol.
4%
Oman
$340 Vol.
4%
UK
$103,183 Vol.
3%
Germany
$76,379 Vol.
3%
Canada
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel launched large-scale airstrikes against Iranian military, nuclear, and missile sites starting February 28, 2026, with over 11,000 targets hit by late March per US Central Command, anchoring trader focus amid ongoing escalation. Iran retaliated with missile barrages on Israeli cities, US bases in Saudi Arabia including Prince Sultan Air Base, and Gulf states, injuring US troops and sparking fires at key facilities as recently as March 27-29. UK, France, and Germany signaled readiness for defensive strikes on Iranian launch capabilities following early March attacks, while Saudi Arabia and UAE weigh direct participation if energy infrastructure is targeted further. Upcoming US ground operation preparations and Strait of Hormuz tensions could prompt coalition expansion by April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Volumen
$466,003Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel launched large-scale airstrikes against Iranian military, nuclear, and missile sites starting February 28, 2026, with over 11,000 targets hit by late March per US Central Command, anchoring trader focus amid ongoing escalation. Iran retaliated with missile barrages on Israeli cities, US bases in Saudi Arabia including Prince Sultan Air Base, and Gulf states, injuring US troops and sparking fires at key facilities as recently as March 27-29. UK, France, and Germany signaled readiness for defensive strikes on Iranian launch capabilities following early March attacks, while Saudi Arabia and UAE weigh direct participation if energy infrastructure is targeted further. Upcoming US ground operation preparations and Strait of Hormuz tensions could prompt coalition expansion by April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$466,003Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israel launched large-scale airstrikes against Iranian military, nuclear, and missile sites starting February 28, 2026, with over 11,000 targets hit by late March per US Central Command, anchoring trader focus amid ongoing escalation. Iran retaliated with missile barrages on Israeli cities, US bases in Saudi Arabia including Prince Sultan Air Base, and Gulf states, injuring US troops and sparking fires at key facilities as recently as March 27-29. UK, France, and Germany signaled readiness for defensive strikes on Iranian launch capabilities following early March attacks, while Saudi Arabia and UAE weigh direct participation if energy infrastructure is targeted further. Upcoming US ground operation preparations and Strait of Hormuz tensions could prompt coalition expansion by April 30 resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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