Trump's consistent Truth Social activity, averaging multiple posts daily on legal defenses, election critiques, and policy attacks, anchors trader consensus for his March 16-22 output, with markets pricing high odds on mentions of Biden, trials, and economic claims amid his New York bond ruling and Florida primary win. Recent catalysts include the March 25 fraud case delay announcement boosting bullish sentiment on acquittal narratives, while escalating rhetoric against judges sustains "lawfare" theme probabilities. Upcoming RNC shifts and potential endorsements could pivot focus, but historical patterns show 90%+ likelihood of opponent-targeted posts; traders weigh these against quiet periods tied to golf or depositions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$76,212 Vol.
Ass
3%
Lawsuit
5%
Illinois
7%
Epic Fury
29%
Oscar / Oscars
2%
Hillary / Clinton
7%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
14%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
15%
Filibuster
31%
Stupid
32%
Death to America
1%
Claude / Anthropic
3%
Hamas / Hezbollah
10%
Too Big to Rig
21%
Democrat Shutdown
3%
Mamdani
9%
Texas
5%
Son
10%
Cornyn
6%
Jake Paul
3%
$76,212 Vol.
Ass
3%
Lawsuit
5%
Illinois
7%
Epic Fury
29%
Oscar / Oscars
2%
Hillary / Clinton
7%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
14%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
15%
Filibuster
31%
Stupid
32%
Death to America
1%
Claude / Anthropic
3%
Hamas / Hezbollah
10%
Too Big to Rig
21%
Democrat Shutdown
3%
Mamdani
9%
Texas
5%
Son
10%
Cornyn
6%
Jake Paul
3%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Note: "Mutilization" must be written verbatim in order to qualify, any additional riffs on spelling or grammatical variations will not be considered, nor will the proper word "Mutilation". Differences in capitalization will qualify.
Mercado abierto: Mar 13, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's consistent Truth Social activity, averaging multiple posts daily on legal defenses, election critiques, and policy attacks, anchors trader consensus for his March 16-22 output, with markets pricing high odds on mentions of Biden, trials, and economic claims amid his New York bond ruling and Florida primary win. Recent catalysts include the March 25 fraud case delay announcement boosting bullish sentiment on acquittal narratives, while escalating rhetoric against judges sustains "lawfare" theme probabilities. Upcoming RNC shifts and potential endorsements could pivot focus, but historical patterns show 90%+ likelihood of opponent-targeted posts; traders weigh these against quiet periods tied to golf or depositions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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