The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75%—effective rate around 3.64%—following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, with the dot plot projecting a median 3.40% by year-end amid resilient labor markets and oil-driven inflation pressures. March nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, holding unemployment steady at 4.3%, while February CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, supporting trader consensus for limited easing. CME FedWatch implies over 95% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with futures pricing a steady path near 3.6% through 2026. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and subsequent FOMC gatherings in June and July, where persistent inflation could delay cuts or prompt hikes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Qué alcanzará la tasa de la Fed antes de 2027?
¿Qué alcanzará la tasa de la Fed antes de 2027?
$1,277,342 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ 5,5%
4%
↑ 5.25%
5%
↑ 5,0%
4%
↑ 4,75%
4%
↑ 4.5%
6%
↑ 4,25%
10%
↓ 3.25%
54%
↓ 3,0%
33%
↓ 2,75%
19%
↓ 2,5%
17%
↓ 2.25%
8%
↓ 2,0%
8%
↓ 1,75%
9%
↓ 1,5%
9%
↓ 1,25%
26%
↓ 1,0%
10%
↓ 0,75%
9%
↓ 0,5%
8%
↓ 0,25%
7%
↓ 0%
7%
$1,277,342 Vol.
↑ 5,5%
$43,011 Vol.
4%
↑ 5.25%
$136,294 Vol.
5%
↑ 5,0%
$10,055 Vol.
4%
↑ 4,75%
$65,847 Vol.
4%
↑ 4.5%
$10,972 Vol.
6%
↑ 4,25%
$22,043 Vol.
10%
↓ 3.25%
$53,849 Vol.
54%
↓ 3,0%
$216,065 Vol.
33%
↓ 2,75%
$250,453 Vol.
19%
↓ 2,5%
$172,171 Vol.
17%
↓ 2.25%
$22,779 Vol.
8%
↓ 2,0%
$15,062 Vol.
8%
↓ 1,75%
$5,983 Vol.
9%
↓ 1,5%
$24,836 Vol.
9%
↓ 1,25%
$893 Vol.
26%
↓ 1,0%
$0 Vol.
10%
↓ 0,75%
$388 Vol.
9%
↓ 0,5%
$89,298 Vol.
8%
↓ 0,25%
$118,119 Vol.
7%
↓ 0%
$10,220 Vol.
7%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75%—effective rate around 3.64%—following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, with the dot plot projecting a median 3.40% by year-end amid resilient labor markets and oil-driven inflation pressures. March nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, holding unemployment steady at 4.3%, while February CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, supporting trader consensus for limited easing. CME FedWatch implies over 95% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with futures pricing a steady path near 3.6% through 2026. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and subsequent FOMC gatherings in June and July, where persistent inflation could delay cuts or prompt hikes.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Mercado abierto: Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
Volumen
$1,277,342Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75%—effective rate around 3.64%—following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, with the dot plot projecting a median 3.40% by year-end amid resilient labor markets and oil-driven inflation pressures. March nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, holding unemployment steady at 4.3%, while February CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, supporting trader consensus for limited easing. CME FedWatch implies over 95% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with futures pricing a steady path near 3.6% through 2026. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and subsequent FOMC gatherings in June and July, where persistent inflation could delay cuts or prompt hikes.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volumen
$1,277,342Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75%—effective rate around 3.64%—following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, with the dot plot projecting a median 3.40% by year-end amid resilient labor markets and oil-driven inflation pressures. March nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, holding unemployment steady at 4.3%, while February CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, supporting trader consensus for limited easing. CME FedWatch implies over 95% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with futures pricing a steady path near 3.6% through 2026. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and subsequent FOMC gatherings in June and July, where persistent inflation could delay cuts or prompt hikes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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