¿Estados Unidos ataca a Irán con...?
$151,755,950 Vol.
Feb 2, 2026
1 de febrero
$6,327,933 Vol.
<1%
1 de febrero
$6,327,933 Vol.
<1%
2 de febrero
$1,491,442 Vol.
1%
2 de febrero
$1,491,442 Vol.
1%
3 de febrero
$496,713 Vol.
2%
3 de febrero
$496,713 Vol.
2%
4 de febrero
$295,648 Vol.
3%
4 de febrero
$295,648 Vol.
3%
5 de febrero
$416,956 Vol.
5%
5 de febrero
$416,956 Vol.
5%
6 de febrero
$2,604,846 Vol.
7%
6 de febrero
$2,604,846 Vol.
7%
13 de febrero
$1,885,163 Vol.
18%
13 de febrero
$1,885,163 Vol.
18%
28 de febrero
$5,622,123 Vol.
33%
28 de febrero
$5,622,123 Vol.
33%
31 de marzo
$4,838,247 Vol.
45%
31 de marzo
$4,838,247 Vol.
45%
30 de junio
$2,695,697 Vol.
56%
30 de junio
$2,695,697 Vol.
56%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Creado en: Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volumen
$151,755,950Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Creado en
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...¿Estados Unidos ataca a Irán con...?
$151,755,950 Vol.
1 de febrero
$6,327,933 Vol.
<1%
2 de febrero
$1,491,442 Vol.
1%
3 de febrero
$496,713 Vol.
2%
4 de febrero
$295,648 Vol.
3%
5 de febrero
$416,956 Vol.
5%
6 de febrero
$2,604,846 Vol.
7%
13 de febrero
$1,885,163 Vol.
18%
28 de febrero
$5,622,123 Vol.
33%
31 de marzo
$4,838,247 Vol.
45%
30 de junio
$2,695,697 Vol.
56%
Acerca de
Volumen
$151,755,950Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Creado en
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.