¿Estados Unidos ataca a Irán con...?
$244,035,949 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
12 de febrero
$4,167,085 Vol.
<1%
13 de febrero
$11,627,095 Vol.
1%
14 de febrero
$554,520 Vol.
2%
15 de febrero
$239,672 Vol.
2%
16 de febrero
$152,671 Vol.
3%
17 de febrero
$101,651 Vol.
4%
18 de febrero
$122,319 Vol.
5%
19 de febrero
$29,542 Vol.
6%
20 de febrero
$2,359,825 Vol.
6%
28 de febrero
$13,800,480 Vol.
12%
15 de marzo
$42,221 Vol.
22%
31 de marzo
$8,317,231 Vol.
32%
30 de junio
$4,758,125 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Creado en: Feb 9, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volumen
$244,035,949Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Creado en
Feb 9, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...¿Estados Unidos ataca a Irán con...?
$244,035,949 Vol.
12 de febrero
$4,167,085 Vol.
<1%
13 de febrero
$11,627,095 Vol.
1%
14 de febrero
$554,520 Vol.
2%
15 de febrero
$239,672 Vol.
2%
16 de febrero
$152,671 Vol.
3%
17 de febrero
$101,651 Vol.
4%
18 de febrero
$122,319 Vol.
5%
19 de febrero
$29,542 Vol.
6%
20 de febrero
$2,359,825 Vol.
6%
28 de febrero
$13,800,480 Vol.
12%
15 de marzo
$42,221 Vol.
22%
31 de marzo
$8,317,231 Vol.
32%
30 de junio
$4,758,125 Vol.
42%
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.