¿Estados Unidos ataca a Irán con...?
$152,719,795 Vol.
Feb 1, 2026
2 de febrero
$1,801,851 Vol.
1%
2 de febrero
$1,801,851 Vol.
1%
3 de febrero
$575,136 Vol.
2%
3 de febrero
$575,136 Vol.
2%
4 de febrero
$323,751 Vol.
3%
4 de febrero
$323,751 Vol.
3%
5 de febrero
$462,189 Vol.
4%
5 de febrero
$462,189 Vol.
4%
6 de febrero
$2,659,885 Vol.
7%
6 de febrero
$2,659,885 Vol.
7%
13 de febrero
$1,936,985 Vol.
17%
13 de febrero
$1,936,985 Vol.
17%
28 de febrero
$5,664,597 Vol.
30%
28 de febrero
$5,664,597 Vol.
30%
31 de marzo
$4,855,744 Vol.
43%
31 de marzo
$4,855,744 Vol.
43%
30 de junio
$2,726,769 Vol.
56%
30 de junio
$2,726,769 Vol.
56%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Creado en: Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volumen
$152,719,795Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Creado en
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
¿Estados Unidos ataca a Irán con...?
$152,719,795 Vol.
2 de febrero
$1,801,851 Vol.
1%
3 de febrero
$575,136 Vol.
2%
4 de febrero
$323,751 Vol.
3%
5 de febrero
$462,189 Vol.
4%
6 de febrero
$2,659,885 Vol.
7%
13 de febrero
$1,936,985 Vol.
17%
28 de febrero
$5,664,597 Vol.
30%
31 de marzo
$4,855,744 Vol.
43%
30 de junio
$2,726,769 Vol.
56%
Acerca de
Volumen
$152,719,795Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Creado en
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.