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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de TX-33

Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de TX-33

Colin Allred 74%

Julie Johnson 25%

Carlos Quintanilla <1%

Zeeshan Hafeez <1%

Polymarket

$49,996 Vol.

Colin Allred 74%

Julie Johnson 25%

Carlos Quintanilla <1%

Zeeshan Hafeez <1%

Polymarket

$49,996 Vol.

Colin Allred

$25,611 Vol.

74%

Julie Johnson

$24,386 Vol.

25%

Carlos Quintanilla

$0 Vol.

<1%

Zeeshan Hafeez

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 73.5% implied probability over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson at 24.5%, driven by Allred's dominant March 3 primary performance where he captured 44% of the vote to Johnson's 34%, clearing the path after neither reached a majority. Allred has since consolidated support through endorsements from third-place finisher Carlos Quintanilla (14%) and Zeeshan Hafeez (8.5%), bolstering his position in the newly redrawn, safely Democratic Dallas-area district. His fundraising edge—$5.4 million raised versus Johnson's $1.5 million as of February—further strengthens his advantage, as reflected in a recent GBAO poll showing Allred ahead 58-30. Minor candidates trail at negligible odds post-primary elimination.

In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 73.5% implied probability over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson at 24.5%, driven by Allred's dominant March 3 primary performance where he captured 44% of the vote to Johnson's 34%, clearing the path after neither reached a majority. Allred has since consolidated support through endorsements from third-place finisher Carlos Quintanilla (14%) and Zeeshan Hafeez (8.5%), bolstering his position in the newly redrawn, safely Democratic Dallas-area district. His fundraising edge—$5.4 million raised versus Johnson's $1.5 million as of February—further strengthens his advantage, as reflected in a recent GBAO poll showing Allred ahead 58-30. Minor candidates trail at negligible odds post-primary elimination.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 73.5% implied probability over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson at 24.5%, driven by Allred's dominant March 3 primary performance where he captured 44% of the vote to Johnson's 34%, clearing the path after neither reached a majority. Allred has since consolidated support through endorsements from third-place finisher Carlos Quintanilla (14%) and Zeeshan Hafeez (8.5%), bolstering his position in the newly redrawn, safely Democratic Dallas-area district. His fundraising edge—$5.4 million raised versus Johnson's $1.5 million as of February—further strengthens his advantage, as reflected in a recent GBAO poll showing Allred ahead 58-30. Minor candidates trail at negligible odds post-primary elimination.

In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 73.5% implied probability over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson at 24.5%, driven by Allred's dominant March 3 primary performance where he captured 44% of the vote to Johnson's 34%, clearing the path after neither reached a majority. Allred has since consolidated support through endorsements from third-place finisher Carlos Quintanilla (14%) and Zeeshan Hafeez (8.5%), bolstering his position in the newly redrawn, safely Democratic Dallas-area district. His fundraising edge—$5.4 million raised versus Johnson's $1.5 million as of February—further strengthens his advantage, as reflected in a recent GBAO poll showing Allred ahead 58-30. Minor candidates trail at negligible odds post-primary elimination.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de TX-33" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Colin Allred" con 74%, seguido de "Julie Johnson" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 74¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de TX-33" ha generado $50K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 4, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de TX-33", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de TX-33" es "Colin Allred" con 74%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Julie Johnson" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de TX-33" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.