Republican Steve Toth secured the nomination for Texas's 2nd congressional district after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. The district, encompassing northern and northeastern Houston suburbs, has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, including substantial support for the party's presidential and Senate candidates in 2024. This partisan composition and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure position the Republican nominee as the clear frontrunner heading into the November general election, with trader consensus reflecting limited pathways for an upset absent major shifts in turnout or late developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTX-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TX-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$10,377 Vol.
$10,377 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
86%
Partido Demócrata
12%
$10,377 Vol.
$10,377 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,593 Vol.
86%
Partido Demócrata
$5,784 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Steve Toth secured the nomination for Texas's 2nd congressional district after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. The district, encompassing northern and northeastern Houston suburbs, has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, including substantial support for the party's presidential and Senate candidates in 2024. This partisan composition and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure position the Republican nominee as the clear frontrunner heading into the November general election, with trader consensus reflecting limited pathways for an upset absent major shifts in turnout or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$10,377Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Steve Toth secured the nomination for Texas's 2nd congressional district after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. The district, encompassing northern and northeastern Houston suburbs, has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, including substantial support for the party's presidential and Senate candidates in 2024. This partisan composition and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure position the Republican nominee as the clear frontrunner heading into the November general election, with trader consensus reflecting limited pathways for an upset absent major shifts in turnout or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,377Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Steve Toth secured the nomination for Texas's 2nd congressional district after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. The district, encompassing northern and northeastern Houston suburbs, has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, including substantial support for the party's presidential and Senate candidates in 2024. This partisan composition and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure position the Republican nominee as the clear frontrunner heading into the November general election, with trader consensus reflecting limited pathways for an upset absent major shifts in turnout or late developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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