The Republican nominee Steve Toth holds an 86% implied probability in the TX-02 House race due to the district's established Republican tilt across northern and northeastern Houston suburbs. Toth defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 Republican primary, securing the nomination for the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie. The seat's voting history, including strong Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with its Solid Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus. No major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics have emerged in the past month to alter this positioning ahead of the general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTX-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TX-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$10,377 Vol.
$10,377 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
86%
Partido Demócrata
12%
$10,377 Vol.
$10,377 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,593 Vol.
86%
Partido Demócrata
$5,784 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee Steve Toth holds an 86% implied probability in the TX-02 House race due to the district's established Republican tilt across northern and northeastern Houston suburbs. Toth defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 Republican primary, securing the nomination for the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie. The seat's voting history, including strong Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with its Solid Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus. No major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics have emerged in the past month to alter this positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$10,377Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee Steve Toth holds an 86% implied probability in the TX-02 House race due to the district's established Republican tilt across northern and northeastern Houston suburbs. Toth defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 Republican primary, securing the nomination for the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie. The seat's voting history, including strong Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with its Solid Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus. No major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics have emerged in the past month to alter this positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,377Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee Steve Toth holds an 86% implied probability in the TX-02 House race due to the district's established Republican tilt across northern and northeastern Houston suburbs. Toth defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 Republican primary, securing the nomination for the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie. The seat's voting history, including strong Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with its Solid Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus. No major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics have emerged in the past month to alter this positioning ahead of the general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes