Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn at 89% implied probability to win Tennessee's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 6, driven by her commanding leads in recent polls, including a March 24 survey projecting a landslide and a poll two days ago showing her at 56% as Rep. John Rose and State Rep. Monty Fritts gained modest ground to around 6-5%. Blackburn's national profile, Senate incumbency advantages, and FEC filings revealing robust fundraising groundwork from her 2024 reelection bolster her frontrunner status in a crowded field of over two dozen candidates. Rose draws support from his congressional tenure and campaign cash leads, while Fritts appeals to anti-establishment voters, but neither has closed the gap amid stable polling trends. Late scandals or debate performances could shift dynamics before early voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Tennessee
Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Tennessee
Marsha Blackburn 90%
John Rose 6%
Monty Fritts 4.8%
Marsha Blackburn
90%
John Rose
6%
Monty Fritts
5%
Marsha Blackburn 90%
John Rose 6%
Monty Fritts 4.8%
Marsha Blackburn
90%
John Rose
6%
Monty Fritts
5%
If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 11, 2025, 10:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn at 89% implied probability to win Tennessee's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 6, driven by her commanding leads in recent polls, including a March 24 survey projecting a landslide and a poll two days ago showing her at 56% as Rep. John Rose and State Rep. Monty Fritts gained modest ground to around 6-5%. Blackburn's national profile, Senate incumbency advantages, and FEC filings revealing robust fundraising groundwork from her 2024 reelection bolster her frontrunner status in a crowded field of over two dozen candidates. Rose draws support from his congressional tenure and campaign cash leads, while Fritts appeals to anti-establishment voters, but neither has closed the gap amid stable polling trends. Late scandals or debate performances could shift dynamics before early voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes