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Elecciones·Corea Del Sur

South Korea Presidential Election Margin of Victory

Market icon
Elecciones·Corea Del Sur

South Korea Presidential Election Margin of Victory

Jae-myung by 8–11% 100.0%

Jae-myung by >23% <1%

Jae-myung by 20–23% <1%

Jae-myung by 17–20% <1%

Polymarket

$3,817,287 Vol.

Jae-myung by 8–11% 100.0%

Jae-myung by >23% <1%

Jae-myung by 20–23% <1%

Jae-myung by 17–20% <1%

Polymarket

$3,817,287 Vol.

Jae-myung by >23%

$130,225 Vol.

No

Jae-myung by 20–23%

$200,116 Vol.

No

Jae-myung by 17–20%

$265,399 Vol.

No

Jae-myung by 14–17%

$204,101 Vol.

No

Jae-myung by 11–14%

$421,154 Vol.

No

Jae-myung by 8–11%

$895,759 Vol.

Yes

Jae-myung by 5-8%

$905,151 Vol.

No

Jae-myung by <5%

$608,585 Vol.

No

Other

$186,798 Vol.

No

South Korean presidential elections are scheduled to occur on June 3, 2025, following the impeachment of Yoon Suk Yeol.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 South Korean Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in South Korean Presidential Election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the official vote count published by the National Election Commission of South Korea (https://www.nec.go.kr/engvote/main.jsp).
Volumen
$3,817,287
Fecha de finalización
Jun 3, 2025
Mercado abierto
May 20, 2025, 3:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
South Korean presidential elections are scheduled to occur on June 3, 2025, following the impeachment of Yoon Suk Yeol. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 South Korean Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in South Korean Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the official vote count published by the National Election Commission of South Korea (https://www.nec.go.kr/engvote/main.jsp).

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"South Korea Presidential Election Margin of Victory" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jae-myung by 8–11%" con 100%, seguido de "Jae-myung by >23%" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "South Korea Presidential Election Margin of Victory" ha generado $3.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 20, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "South Korea Presidential Election Margin of Victory", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "South Korea Presidential Election Margin of Victory" es "Jae-myung by 8–11%" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jae-myung by >23%" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "South Korea Presidential Election Margin of Victory" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.