Market icon

¿Próxima intervención militar entre EE. UU. y Venezuela el...?

Market icon

¿Próxima intervención militar entre EE. UU. y Venezuela el...?

Sin enfrentamiento en 2025 100.0%

24 de noviembre <1%

25 de noviembre <1%

26 de noviembre <1%

Polymarket

$6,115,302 Vol.

Sin enfrentamiento en 2025 100.0%

24 de noviembre <1%

25 de noviembre <1%

26 de noviembre <1%

Polymarket

$6,115,302 Vol.

24 de noviembre

$16,521 Vol.

No

25 de noviembre

$12,305 Vol.

No

26 de noviembre

$50,403 Vol.

No

27 de noviembre

$26,626 Vol.

No

28 de noviembre

$110,465 Vol.

No

November 29

$69,037 Vol.

No

30 de noviembre

$38,868 Vol.

No

1 de diciembre

$152,688 Vol.

No

2 de diciembre

$143,803 Vol.

No

3 de diciembre

$156,897 Vol.

No

December 4

$114,214 Vol.

No

5 de diciembre

$80,954 Vol.

No

6 de diciembre

$247,933 Vol.

No

7 de diciembre

$252,347 Vol.

No

8 de diciembre

$144,644 Vol.

No

9 de diciembre

$100,331 Vol.

No

10 de diciembre

$139,654 Vol.

No

11 de diciembre

$151,302 Vol.

No

12 de diciembre

$169,819 Vol.

No

13 de diciembre

$156,535 Vol.

No

14 de diciembre

$173,132 Vol.

No

15 de diciembre

$142,702 Vol.

No

16 de diciembre

$246,708 Vol.

No

17 de diciembre

$259,801 Vol.

No

18 de diciembre

$146,055 Vol.

No

19 de diciembre

$182,914 Vol.

No

20 de diciembre

$147,100 Vol.

No

21 de diciembre

$120,640 Vol.

No

22 de diciembre

$169,657 Vol.

No

23 de diciembre

$119,274 Vol.

No

24 de diciembre

$184,201 Vol.

No

25 de diciembre

$230,223 Vol.

No

26 de diciembre

$204,551 Vol.

No

27 de diciembre

$189,590 Vol.

No

28 de diciembre

$150,850 Vol.

No

29 de diciembre

$193,759 Vol.

No

30 de diciembre

$198,231 Vol.

No

31 de diciembre

$203,861 Vol.

No

Sin enfrentamiento en 2025

$516,706 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) of the next military engagement between the military forces of the United States of America and Venezuela.

A "military engagement" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Venezuelan military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution; however, minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.

Any U.S. military kinetic strike that impacts Venezuelan land territory will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

Missiles or drone strikes which are intercepted will not qualify regardless of whether they land on adversarial territory or cause damage. Similarly, surface-to-air missile strikes impacting adversarial territory will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution (although surface to air missiles fired at an adversarial military aircraft would qualify).

Note: the U.S. Coast Guard is a branch of the U.S. Armed Forces; Venezuela’s Milicia Nacional Bolivariana (militia) is a “special component” of the Venezuelan National Bolivarian Armed Forces (FANB); and Venezuela’s Coast Guard (Comando de Guardacostas) is a component of the Venezuelan Navy (Armada Bolivariana) and thus part of the FANB.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$6,115,302
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025
Mercado abierto
Nov 24, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) of the next military engagement between the military forces of the United States of America and Venezuela. A "military engagement" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Venezuelan military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution; however, minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. Any U.S. military kinetic strike that impacts Venezuelan land territory will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Missiles or drone strikes which are intercepted will not qualify regardless of whether they land on adversarial territory or cause damage. Similarly, surface-to-air missile strikes impacting adversarial territory will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution (although surface to air missiles fired at an adversarial military aircraft would qualify). Note: the U.S. Coast Guard is a branch of the U.S. Armed Forces; Venezuela’s Milicia Nacional Bolivariana (militia) is a “special component” of the Venezuelan National Bolivarian Armed Forces (FANB); and Venezuela’s Coast Guard (Comando de Guardacostas) is a component of the Venezuelan Navy (Armada Bolivariana) and thus part of the FANB. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿Próxima intervención militar entre EE. UU. y Venezuela el...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 39 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sin enfrentamiento en 2025" at 100%, followed by "24 de noviembre" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿Próxima intervención militar entre EE. UU. y Venezuela el...?" has generated $6.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿Próxima intervención militar entre EE. UU. y Venezuela el...?," browse the 39 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "¿Próxima intervención militar entre EE. UU. y Venezuela el...?" is "Sin enfrentamiento en 2025" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "24 de noviembre" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "¿Próxima intervención militar entre EE. UU. y Venezuela el...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.