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¿Otro ataque estadounidense a Venezuela por parte de...?

$1,861,828 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.

A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.

Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$1,861,828
Fecha de finalización
Jan 31, 2026
Creado en
Jan 3, 2026, 11:24 AM ET

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Market icon

¿Otro ataque estadounidense a Venezuela por parte de...?

$1,861,828 Vol.

31 de enero

$494,222 Vol.

2%

31 de marzo

$63,174 Vol.

13%

31 de diciembre

$43,079 Vol.

30%

Acerca de

Volumen
$1,861,828
Fecha de finalización
Jan 31, 2026
Creado en
Jan 3, 2026, 11:24 AM ET

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.