Maduro's capture by U.S. forces in January 2026 and subsequent transfer to federal custody in New York triggered the superseding indictment on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York. He and co-defendants entered not-guilty pleas at the initial appearance and a follow-up March hearing, with the case now advancing through standard pre-trial motions and discovery. The 87% implied probability that he avoids conviction on every count reflects the extended timeline of complex federal proceedings, evidentiary demands in a multi-year conspiracy allegation, and historical patterns in high-profile international narcotics cases where full convictions across all charges remain difficult to secure. Upcoming status conferences and potential plea negotiations continue to shape trader assessments of resolution outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$102,599 Vol.
$102,599 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Sí
$102,599 Vol.
$102,599 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Maduro's capture by U.S. forces in January 2026 and subsequent transfer to federal custody in New York triggered the superseding indictment on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York. He and co-defendants entered not-guilty pleas at the initial appearance and a follow-up March hearing, with the case now advancing through standard pre-trial motions and discovery. The 87% implied probability that he avoids conviction on every count reflects the extended timeline of complex federal proceedings, evidentiary demands in a multi-year conspiracy allegation, and historical patterns in high-profile international narcotics cases where full convictions across all charges remain difficult to secure. Upcoming status conferences and potential plea negotiations continue to shape trader assessments of resolution outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volumen
$102,599Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Maduro's capture by U.S. forces in January 2026 and subsequent transfer to federal custody in New York triggered the superseding indictment on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York. He and co-defendants entered not-guilty pleas at the initial appearance and a follow-up March hearing, with the case now advancing through standard pre-trial motions and discovery. The 87% implied probability that he avoids conviction on every count reflects the extended timeline of complex federal proceedings, evidentiary demands in a multi-year conspiracy allegation, and historical patterns in high-profile international narcotics cases where full convictions across all charges remain difficult to secure. Upcoming status conferences and potential plea negotiations continue to shape trader assessments of resolution outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$102,599Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Maduro's capture by U.S. forces in January 2026 and subsequent transfer to federal custody in New York triggered the superseding indictment on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York. He and co-defendants entered not-guilty pleas at the initial appearance and a follow-up March hearing, with the case now advancing through standard pre-trial motions and discovery. The 87% implied probability that he avoids conviction on every count reflects the extended timeline of complex federal proceedings, evidentiary demands in a multi-year conspiracy allegation, and historical patterns in high-profile international narcotics cases where full convictions across all charges remain difficult to secure. Upcoming status conferences and potential plea negotiations continue to shape trader assessments of resolution outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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