Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts holds a commanding trader consensus at 74% implied probability of victory in the 2026 Nebraska U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's long Republican dominance and his strong fundraising as former governor despite recent polls showing him narrowly ahead of independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024. Democrat odds languish at 4.5% amid primary chaos, including March ballot battles that temporarily removed candidate Cindy Burbank before a state Supreme Court reinstatement on March 23, and accusations that pastor William Forbes is a Republican plant due to his Trump support and anti-abortion stance, prompting party calls for consolidation behind Osborn. Primaries on May 12 could clarify fields, but Nebraska's GOP base and Electoral College math favor Ricketts absent major shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$90,900 Vol.
$90,900 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
74%
Demócrata
5%
$90,900 Vol.
$90,900 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$37,731 Vol.
74%
Demócrata
$53,169 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts holds a commanding trader consensus at 74% implied probability of victory in the 2026 Nebraska U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's long Republican dominance and his strong fundraising as former governor despite recent polls showing him narrowly ahead of independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024. Democrat odds languish at 4.5% amid primary chaos, including March ballot battles that temporarily removed candidate Cindy Burbank before a state Supreme Court reinstatement on March 23, and accusations that pastor William Forbes is a Republican plant due to his Trump support and anti-abortion stance, prompting party calls for consolidation behind Osborn. Primaries on May 12 could clarify fields, but Nebraska's GOP base and Electoral College math favor Ricketts absent major shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$90,900Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts holds a commanding trader consensus at 74% implied probability of victory in the 2026 Nebraska U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's long Republican dominance and his strong fundraising as former governor despite recent polls showing him narrowly ahead of independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024. Democrat odds languish at 4.5% amid primary chaos, including March ballot battles that temporarily removed candidate Cindy Burbank before a state Supreme Court reinstatement on March 23, and accusations that pastor William Forbes is a Republican plant due to his Trump support and anti-abortion stance, prompting party calls for consolidation behind Osborn. Primaries on May 12 could clarify fields, but Nebraska's GOP base and Electoral College math favor Ricketts absent major shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$90,900Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts holds a commanding trader consensus at 74% implied probability of victory in the 2026 Nebraska U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's long Republican dominance and his strong fundraising as former governor despite recent polls showing him narrowly ahead of independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024. Democrat odds languish at 4.5% amid primary chaos, including March ballot battles that temporarily removed candidate Cindy Burbank before a state Supreme Court reinstatement on March 23, and accusations that pastor William Forbes is a Republican plant due to his Trump support and anti-abortion stance, prompting party calls for consolidation behind Osborn. Primaries on May 12 could clarify fields, but Nebraska's GOP base and Electoral College math favor Ricketts absent major shifts.
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