Recent April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 0.6% monthly gain and sharp energy price increases amid Middle East geopolitical tensions. Cleveland Fed nowcasting updated June 1 points to a May 2026 month-over-month CPI rise of 0.46%, aligning closely with the market's leading 0.5% outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Trader consensus prices a 0.4% reading at 20.6% and 0.6% at 19.5%, reflecting expectations for partial moderation in energy components while core pressures remain contained near 0.23%. The June 10 release will test whether the energy-driven uptick proves transitory, with the Federal Reserve's 3.50–3.75% funds rate range and upcoming FOMC meeting providing additional context for rate path expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 20%
0.8% 3.0%
$47,459 Vol.
$47,459 Vol.
10 jun 2026
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
1%
0.4%
21%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
20%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
1%
0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 20%
0.8% 3.0%
$47,459 Vol.
$47,459 Vol.
10 jun 2026
≤0.1%
$1,495 Vol.
1%
0.2%
$2,170 Vol.
<1%
0.3%
$3,104 Vol.
1%
0.4%
$5,177 Vol.
21%
0.5%
$9,687 Vol.
51%
0.6%
$13,774 Vol.
20%
0.7%
$5,792 Vol.
2%
0.8%
$3,189 Vol.
3%
≥0.9%
$3,070 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 0.6% monthly gain and sharp energy price increases amid Middle East geopolitical tensions. Cleveland Fed nowcasting updated June 1 points to a May 2026 month-over-month CPI rise of 0.46%, aligning closely with the market's leading 0.5% outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Trader consensus prices a 0.4% reading at 20.6% and 0.6% at 19.5%, reflecting expectations for partial moderation in energy components while core pressures remain contained near 0.23%. The June 10 release will test whether the energy-driven uptick proves transitory, with the Federal Reserve's 3.50–3.75% funds rate range and upcoming FOMC meeting providing additional context for rate path expectations.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volumen
$47,459Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 0.6% monthly gain and sharp energy price increases amid Middle East geopolitical tensions. Cleveland Fed nowcasting updated June 1 points to a May 2026 month-over-month CPI rise of 0.46%, aligning closely with the market's leading 0.5% outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Trader consensus prices a 0.4% reading at 20.6% and 0.6% at 19.5%, reflecting expectations for partial moderation in energy components while core pressures remain contained near 0.23%. The June 10 release will test whether the energy-driven uptick proves transitory, with the Federal Reserve's 3.50–3.75% funds rate range and upcoming FOMC meeting providing additional context for rate path expectations.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$47,459Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 0.6% monthly gain and sharp energy price increases amid Middle East geopolitical tensions. Cleveland Fed nowcasting updated June 1 points to a May 2026 month-over-month CPI rise of 0.46%, aligning closely with the market's leading 0.5% outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Trader consensus prices a 0.4% reading at 20.6% and 0.6% at 19.5%, reflecting expectations for partial moderation in energy components while core pressures remain contained near 0.23%. The June 10 release will test whether the energy-driven uptick proves transitory, with the Federal Reserve's 3.50–3.75% funds rate range and upcoming FOMC meeting providing additional context for rate path expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes