Wall Street economist consensus anticipates a 0.5% month-over-month rise in the May 2026 CPI, aligning with the 66% market-implied probability on Polymarket and Cleveland Fed nowcasts showing 0.46%. April’s 0.6% MoM print, which lifted the year-over-year rate to 3.8%, established a higher base, yet forecasters expect moderation from seasonal effects and softer core components to deliver a 4.2% annual reading—the highest since 2023. Trader positioning reflects this baseline while pricing modest upside risk from energy prices and persistent services inflation, with the June 11 release serving as the immediate catalyst for any repricing of adjacent outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado0.5% 66%
0.6% 17%
0.4% 9.7%
≤0.1% 2.7%
$108,343 Vol.
$108,343 Vol.
10 jun 2026
≤0.1%
3%
0.2%
1%
0.3%
1%
0.4%
10%
0.5%
66%
0.6%
17%
0.7%
7%
0.8%
1%
≥0.9%
1%
0.5% 66%
0.6% 17%
0.4% 9.7%
≤0.1% 2.7%
$108,343 Vol.
$108,343 Vol.
10 jun 2026
≤0.1%
$3,725 Vol.
3%
0.2%
$5,885 Vol.
1%
0.3%
$7,176 Vol.
1%
0.4%
$12,625 Vol.
10%
0.5%
$21,655 Vol.
66%
0.6%
$25,838 Vol.
17%
0.7%
$16,508 Vol.
7%
0.8%
$8,292 Vol.
1%
≥0.9%
$6,693 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Wall Street economist consensus anticipates a 0.5% month-over-month rise in the May 2026 CPI, aligning with the 66% market-implied probability on Polymarket and Cleveland Fed nowcasts showing 0.46%. April’s 0.6% MoM print, which lifted the year-over-year rate to 3.8%, established a higher base, yet forecasters expect moderation from seasonal effects and softer core components to deliver a 4.2% annual reading—the highest since 2023. Trader positioning reflects this baseline while pricing modest upside risk from energy prices and persistent services inflation, with the June 11 release serving as the immediate catalyst for any repricing of adjacent outcomes.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volumen
$108,343Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Wall Street economist consensus anticipates a 0.5% month-over-month rise in the May 2026 CPI, aligning with the 66% market-implied probability on Polymarket and Cleveland Fed nowcasts showing 0.46%. April’s 0.6% MoM print, which lifted the year-over-year rate to 3.8%, established a higher base, yet forecasters expect moderation from seasonal effects and softer core components to deliver a 4.2% annual reading—the highest since 2023. Trader positioning reflects this baseline while pricing modest upside risk from energy prices and persistent services inflation, with the June 11 release serving as the immediate catalyst for any repricing of adjacent outcomes.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$108,343Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wall Street economist consensus anticipates a 0.5% month-over-month rise in the May 2026 CPI, aligning with the 66% market-implied probability on Polymarket and Cleveland Fed nowcasts showing 0.46%. April’s 0.6% MoM print, which lifted the year-over-year rate to 3.8%, established a higher base, yet forecasters expect moderation from seasonal effects and softer core components to deliver a 4.2% annual reading—the highest since 2023. Trader positioning reflects this baseline while pricing modest upside risk from energy prices and persistent services inflation, with the June 11 release serving as the immediate catalyst for any repricing of adjacent outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes