Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race, with trader consensus implying 93.5% odds of a Democratic win, stems from the state's deep-blue partisan lean—Democrats hold all statewide offices and legislative supermajorities—and historical precedent, as no Democratic governor has lost re-election since 1950. Moore, who filed for re-election in February alongside Lt. Gov. Aruna Miller, faces only token primary opposition from Eric Felber ahead of the June 23 primaries, while Republicans navigate a fragmented field of nine candidates including Dan Cox, marked by weak fundraising and a recent March 26 debate that failed to consolidate support. Despite Moore's approval dipping to 48% in a late March UMBC poll amid voter concerns over the economy and state direction, the absence of general election polls and ratings of "Safe Democratic" by forecasters like Cook Political Report sustain the lopsided odds. Realistic challenges include a Moore primary upset, a GOP moderate emerging with funds, or a major scandal eroding his base before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$15,106 Vol.
$15,106 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
94%
Republicano
6%
$15,106 Vol.
$15,106 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$6,570 Vol.
94%
Republicano
$8,536 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race, with trader consensus implying 93.5% odds of a Democratic win, stems from the state's deep-blue partisan lean—Democrats hold all statewide offices and legislative supermajorities—and historical precedent, as no Democratic governor has lost re-election since 1950. Moore, who filed for re-election in February alongside Lt. Gov. Aruna Miller, faces only token primary opposition from Eric Felber ahead of the June 23 primaries, while Republicans navigate a fragmented field of nine candidates including Dan Cox, marked by weak fundraising and a recent March 26 debate that failed to consolidate support. Despite Moore's approval dipping to 48% in a late March UMBC poll amid voter concerns over the economy and state direction, the absence of general election polls and ratings of "Safe Democratic" by forecasters like Cook Political Report sustain the lopsided odds. Realistic challenges include a Moore primary upset, a GOP moderate emerging with funds, or a major scandal eroding his base before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volumen
$15,106Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race, with trader consensus implying 93.5% odds of a Democratic win, stems from the state's deep-blue partisan lean—Democrats hold all statewide offices and legislative supermajorities—and historical precedent, as no Democratic governor has lost re-election since 1950. Moore, who filed for re-election in February alongside Lt. Gov. Aruna Miller, faces only token primary opposition from Eric Felber ahead of the June 23 primaries, while Republicans navigate a fragmented field of nine candidates including Dan Cox, marked by weak fundraising and a recent March 26 debate that failed to consolidate support. Despite Moore's approval dipping to 48% in a late March UMBC poll amid voter concerns over the economy and state direction, the absence of general election polls and ratings of "Safe Democratic" by forecasters like Cook Political Report sustain the lopsided odds. Realistic challenges include a Moore primary upset, a GOP moderate emerging with funds, or a major scandal eroding his base before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$15,106Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race, with trader consensus implying 93.5% odds of a Democratic win, stems from the state's deep-blue partisan lean—Democrats hold all statewide offices and legislative supermajorities—and historical precedent, as no Democratic governor has lost re-election since 1950. Moore, who filed for re-election in February alongside Lt. Gov. Aruna Miller, faces only token primary opposition from Eric Felber ahead of the June 23 primaries, while Republicans navigate a fragmented field of nine candidates including Dan Cox, marked by weak fundraising and a recent March 26 debate that failed to consolidate support. Despite Moore's approval dipping to 48% in a late March UMBC poll amid voter concerns over the economy and state direction, the absence of general election polls and ratings of "Safe Democratic" by forecasters like Cook Political Report sustain the lopsided odds. Realistic challenges include a Moore primary upset, a GOP moderate emerging with funds, or a major scandal eroding his base before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes