Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election in North Carolina's 12th congressional district with a commanding position. The district's partisan composition, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Adams has represented the area since 2014, drawing consistent support from its urban and minority voter base. Republican nominee Jack Codiga, who advanced from his primary, faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in safe seats. A late national shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly drawn districts show limited volatility absent major disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara NC-12
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara NC-12
$34,219 Vol.
$34,219 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$34,219 Vol.
$34,219 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$16,152 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$18,067 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election in North Carolina's 12th congressional district with a commanding position. The district's partisan composition, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Adams has represented the area since 2014, drawing consistent support from its urban and minority voter base. Republican nominee Jack Codiga, who advanced from his primary, faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in safe seats. A late national shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly drawn districts show limited volatility absent major disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$34,219Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election in North Carolina's 12th congressional district with a commanding position. The district's partisan composition, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Adams has represented the area since 2014, drawing consistent support from its urban and minority voter base. Republican nominee Jack Codiga, who advanced from his primary, faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in safe seats. A late national shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly drawn districts show limited volatility absent major disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$34,219Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election in North Carolina's 12th congressional district with a commanding position. The district's partisan composition, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Adams has represented the area since 2014, drawing consistent support from its urban and minority voter base. Republican nominee Jack Codiga, who advanced from his primary, faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in safe seats. A late national shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly drawn districts show limited volatility absent major disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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