Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 81.5% in Montana's open Senate race, reflecting the state's strong GOP lean—evident in Tim Sheehy's 2024 win and consistent Republican dominance—despite incumbent Steve Daines' surprise March 4 withdrawal and endorsement of U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme. Alme, backed by President Trump and Gov. Greg Gianforte, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of June 2, while Democrats like ex-legislator Reilly Neill trail in a fragmented field. Yesterday's Q1 FEC filings highlight the disparity, with Alme at $909K cash on hand versus Democrats' combined $132K, limiting their competitiveness; independent Seth Bodnar leads fundraising but traders see low odds of upsetting the partisan math.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Montana
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Montana
$63,711 Vol.
$63,711 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
82%
Demócrata
11%
$63,711 Vol.
$63,711 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$35,384 Vol.
82%
Demócrata
$28,326 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 81.5% in Montana's open Senate race, reflecting the state's strong GOP lean—evident in Tim Sheehy's 2024 win and consistent Republican dominance—despite incumbent Steve Daines' surprise March 4 withdrawal and endorsement of U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme. Alme, backed by President Trump and Gov. Greg Gianforte, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of June 2, while Democrats like ex-legislator Reilly Neill trail in a fragmented field. Yesterday's Q1 FEC filings highlight the disparity, with Alme at $909K cash on hand versus Democrats' combined $132K, limiting their competitiveness; independent Seth Bodnar leads fundraising but traders see low odds of upsetting the partisan math.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$63,711Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 81.5% in Montana's open Senate race, reflecting the state's strong GOP lean—evident in Tim Sheehy's 2024 win and consistent Republican dominance—despite incumbent Steve Daines' surprise March 4 withdrawal and endorsement of U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme. Alme, backed by President Trump and Gov. Greg Gianforte, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of June 2, while Democrats like ex-legislator Reilly Neill trail in a fragmented field. Yesterday's Q1 FEC filings highlight the disparity, with Alme at $909K cash on hand versus Democrats' combined $132K, limiting their competitiveness; independent Seth Bodnar leads fundraising but traders see low odds of upsetting the partisan math.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$63,711Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 81.5% in Montana's open Senate race, reflecting the state's strong GOP lean—evident in Tim Sheehy's 2024 win and consistent Republican dominance—despite incumbent Steve Daines' surprise March 4 withdrawal and endorsement of U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme. Alme, backed by President Trump and Gov. Greg Gianforte, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of June 2, while Democrats like ex-legislator Reilly Neill trail in a fragmented field. Yesterday's Q1 FEC filings highlight the disparity, with Alme at $909K cash on hand versus Democrats' combined $132K, limiting their competitiveness; independent Seth Bodnar leads fundraising but traders see low odds of upsetting the partisan math.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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