Peggy Flanagan's commanding position in the Minnesota Senate race stems from the state's long Democratic lean in federal contests, including no Republican statewide victory since 2006, and her decisive August primary win that unified DFL support after defeating Rep. Angie Craig. As the open-seat nominee following Sen. Tina Smith's retirement, Flanagan benefits from party infrastructure and polling trends favoring Democrats by 5-8 points in generic ballot tests. Michele Tafoya's Republican primary victory consolidated her party's field but faces structural headwinds in a state where Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidates have dominated Senate outcomes. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as intensified focus on state program integrity issues or national political shifts could narrow the gap before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
$59,334 Vol.
$59,334 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
94%
Michele Tafoya (R)
8%
$59,334 Vol.
$59,334 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$41,463 Vol.
94%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$17,871 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan's commanding position in the Minnesota Senate race stems from the state's long Democratic lean in federal contests, including no Republican statewide victory since 2006, and her decisive August primary win that unified DFL support after defeating Rep. Angie Craig. As the open-seat nominee following Sen. Tina Smith's retirement, Flanagan benefits from party infrastructure and polling trends favoring Democrats by 5-8 points in generic ballot tests. Michele Tafoya's Republican primary victory consolidated her party's field but faces structural headwinds in a state where Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidates have dominated Senate outcomes. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as intensified focus on state program integrity issues or national political shifts could narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$59,334Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan's commanding position in the Minnesota Senate race stems from the state's long Democratic lean in federal contests, including no Republican statewide victory since 2006, and her decisive August primary win that unified DFL support after defeating Rep. Angie Craig. As the open-seat nominee following Sen. Tina Smith's retirement, Flanagan benefits from party infrastructure and polling trends favoring Democrats by 5-8 points in generic ballot tests. Michele Tafoya's Republican primary victory consolidated her party's field but faces structural headwinds in a state where Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidates have dominated Senate outcomes. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as intensified focus on state program integrity issues or national political shifts could narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$59,334Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Peggy Flanagan's commanding position in the Minnesota Senate race stems from the state's long Democratic lean in federal contests, including no Republican statewide victory since 2006, and her decisive August primary win that unified DFL support after defeating Rep. Angie Craig. As the open-seat nominee following Sen. Tina Smith's retirement, Flanagan benefits from party infrastructure and polling trends favoring Democrats by 5-8 points in generic ballot tests. Michele Tafoya's Republican primary victory consolidated her party's field but faces structural headwinds in a state where Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidates have dominated Senate outcomes. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as intensified focus on state program integrity issues or national political shifts could narrow the gap before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes