The open Minnesota Senate seat, created by Democrat Tina Smith’s retirement, sits in a state with a modest Democratic lean and carries Likely Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Recent primary polling shows Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Rep. Angie Craig among Democrats, while Michele Tafoya holds the early edge on the Republican side; general-election matchups give Democratic nominees consistent 6- to 13-point advantages. The August 11 primaries and November 3 general election remain months away, leaving room for shifts in candidate positioning or national conditions, yet the current polling average and historical performance in the state underpin trader consensus around an 88.5% implied probability for a Democratic outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
$24,774 Vol.
$24,774 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
89%
Republicano
11%
$24,774 Vol.
$24,774 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$16,904 Vol.
89%
Republicano
$7,870 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Minnesota Senate seat, created by Democrat Tina Smith’s retirement, sits in a state with a modest Democratic lean and carries Likely Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Recent primary polling shows Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Rep. Angie Craig among Democrats, while Michele Tafoya holds the early edge on the Republican side; general-election matchups give Democratic nominees consistent 6- to 13-point advantages. The August 11 primaries and November 3 general election remain months away, leaving room for shifts in candidate positioning or national conditions, yet the current polling average and historical performance in the state underpin trader consensus around an 88.5% implied probability for a Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$24,774Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Minnesota Senate seat, created by Democrat Tina Smith’s retirement, sits in a state with a modest Democratic lean and carries Likely Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Recent primary polling shows Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Rep. Angie Craig among Democrats, while Michele Tafoya holds the early edge on the Republican side; general-election matchups give Democratic nominees consistent 6- to 13-point advantages. The August 11 primaries and November 3 general election remain months away, leaving room for shifts in candidate positioning or national conditions, yet the current polling average and historical performance in the state underpin trader consensus around an 88.5% implied probability for a Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$24,774Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Minnesota Senate seat, created by Democrat Tina Smith’s retirement, sits in a state with a modest Democratic lean and carries Likely Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Recent primary polling shows Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Rep. Angie Craig among Democrats, while Michele Tafoya holds the early edge on the Republican side; general-election matchups give Democratic nominees consistent 6- to 13-point advantages. The August 11 primaries and November 3 general election remain months away, leaving room for shifts in candidate positioning or national conditions, yet the current polling average and historical performance in the state underpin trader consensus around an 88.5% implied probability for a Democratic outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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