Minnesota's established Democratic lean continues to underpin trader consensus favoring a party victory in the 2026 Senate contest for the open seat created by incumbent Tina Smith's retirement. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as likely Democratic, consistent with early general-election polling that shows Democratic primary leaders Peggy Flanagan and Angie Craig holding modest advantages over Republican contenders. The August 11 primaries will narrow both fields, yet the lack of high-profile Republican challengers has reinforced expectations of continued Democratic control. National political shifts or stronger Republican consolidation after the primaries represent the main scenarios that could narrow the current gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
$23,453 Vol.
$23,453 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
92%
Republicano
9%
$23,453 Vol.
$23,453 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$16,476 Vol.
92%
Republicano
$6,977 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's established Democratic lean continues to underpin trader consensus favoring a party victory in the 2026 Senate contest for the open seat created by incumbent Tina Smith's retirement. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as likely Democratic, consistent with early general-election polling that shows Democratic primary leaders Peggy Flanagan and Angie Craig holding modest advantages over Republican contenders. The August 11 primaries will narrow both fields, yet the lack of high-profile Republican challengers has reinforced expectations of continued Democratic control. National political shifts or stronger Republican consolidation after the primaries represent the main scenarios that could narrow the current gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$23,453Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's established Democratic lean continues to underpin trader consensus favoring a party victory in the 2026 Senate contest for the open seat created by incumbent Tina Smith's retirement. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as likely Democratic, consistent with early general-election polling that shows Democratic primary leaders Peggy Flanagan and Angie Craig holding modest advantages over Republican contenders. The August 11 primaries will narrow both fields, yet the lack of high-profile Republican challengers has reinforced expectations of continued Democratic control. National political shifts or stronger Republican consolidation after the primaries represent the main scenarios that could narrow the current gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$23,453Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's established Democratic lean continues to underpin trader consensus favoring a party victory in the 2026 Senate contest for the open seat created by incumbent Tina Smith's retirement. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as likely Democratic, consistent with early general-election polling that shows Democratic primary leaders Peggy Flanagan and Angie Craig holding modest advantages over Republican contenders. The August 11 primaries will narrow both fields, yet the lack of high-profile Republican challengers has reinforced expectations of continued Democratic control. National political shifts or stronger Republican consolidation after the primaries represent the main scenarios that could narrow the current gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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