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Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida

icon for Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida
Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida

$19,658 Vol.

Polymarket

$19,658 Vol.

icon for Republicano

Republicano

$7,429 Vol.

81%

icon for Demócrata

Demócrata

$12,229 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida’s strong Republican tilt, reinforced by President Trump’s 13-point 2024 victory and the party’s unbroken hold on the governorship since 1994, drives trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail in November 2026. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the August 18 primary features U.S. Representative Byron Donalds as the clear frontrunner after securing former President Trump’s endorsement and leading recent surveys by wide margins. Democratic primary polling shows David Jolly ahead but general-election matchups remain competitive at best, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Recent mid-May surveys confirm Republican advantages on the generic ballot and in head-to-head tests, though the still-developing field leaves room for shifts before filing closes in June.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$19,658
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida’s strong Republican tilt, reinforced by President Trump’s 13-point 2024 victory and the party’s unbroken hold on the governorship since 1994, drives trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail in November 2026. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the August 18 primary features U.S. Representative Byron Donalds as the clear frontrunner after securing former President Trump’s endorsement and leading recent surveys by wide margins. Democratic primary polling shows David Jolly ahead but general-election matchups remain competitive at best, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Recent mid-May surveys confirm Republican advantages on the generic ballot and in head-to-head tests, though the still-developing field leaves room for shifts before filing closes in June.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$19,658
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Republicano" con 81%, seguido de "Demócrata" con 19%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 81¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida" ha generado $19.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida" es "Republicano" con 81%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Demócrata" con 19%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.