Florida's open 2026 gubernatorial race, following term limits on incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, features a Republican primary dominated by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, who holds 46-54% support in recent polling after early endorsement from President Trump and leads in fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's Republican trifecta and voting patterns since the late 1990s. Hypothetical general election matchups show Republican candidates ahead of leading Democrats such as David Jolly or Jerry Demings by narrow to moderate margins, with many voters still undecided ahead of the August primaries and November general election. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Florida
$19,100 Vol.
$19,100 Vol.

Republicano
82%

Demócrata
20%
$19,100 Vol.
$19,100 Vol.

Republicano
82%

Demócrata
20%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's open 2026 gubernatorial race, following term limits on incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, features a Republican primary dominated by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, who holds 46-54% support in recent polling after early endorsement from President Trump and leads in fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's Republican trifecta and voting patterns since the late 1990s. Hypothetical general election matchups show Republican candidates ahead of leading Democrats such as David Jolly or Jerry Demings by narrow to moderate margins, with many voters still undecided ahead of the August primaries and November general election. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes