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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Maine

Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Maine

Robert Charles 51%

Ben Midgely 15%

Jonathan Bush 11.6%

David Jones 10.2%

Polymarket
NEW

Robert Charles 51%

Ben Midgely 15%

Jonathan Bush 11.6%

David Jones 10.2%

Polymarket
NEW

Robert Charles

$2,956 Vol.

51%

Ben Midgely

$0 Vol.

15%

Jonathan Bush

$0 Vol.

12%

David Jones

$0 Vol.

10%

Ken Capron

$0 Vol.

9%

Owen McCarthy

$0 Vol.

3%

Robert Wessels

$0 Vol.

2%

James Libby

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Robert Charles leads trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability to win Maine's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 9, driven by his consistent polling edge—around 28% in February surveys and self-reported double-digit leads in early March polls like those from UNH and Pine Tree State—bolstered by his national experience as former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State. A crowded field of eight candidates, marked by high voter unfamiliarity per Pan Atlantic Research's March poll, fragments support, positioning business outsiders Ben Midgley (14%) and David Jones (10.3%) as viable challengers amid recent ballot qualifications. Last week's Bangor debate, the first featuring all qualifiers including Jonathan Bush and Ken Capron, reinforced policy alignment on taxes and spending without major momentum shifts, underscoring the primary's competitive dynamics.

Robert Charles leads trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability to win Maine's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 9, driven by his consistent polling edge—around 28% in February surveys and self-reported double-digit leads in early March polls like those from UNH and Pine Tree State—bolstered by his national experience as former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State. A crowded field of eight candidates, marked by high voter unfamiliarity per Pan Atlantic Research's March poll, fragments support, positioning business outsiders Ben Midgley (14%) and David Jones (10.3%) as viable challengers amid recent ballot qualifications. Last week's Bangor debate, the first featuring all qualifiers including Jonathan Bush and Ken Capron, reinforced policy alignment on taxes and spending without major momentum shifts, underscoring the primary's competitive dynamics.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Robert Charles leads trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability to win Maine's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 9, driven by his consistent polling edge—around 28% in February surveys and self-reported double-digit leads in early March polls like those from UNH and Pine Tree State—bolstered by his national experience as former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State. A crowded field of eight candidates, marked by high voter unfamiliarity per Pan Atlantic Research's March poll, fragments support, positioning business outsiders Ben Midgley (14%) and David Jones (10.3%) as viable challengers amid recent ballot qualifications. Last week's Bangor debate, the first featuring all qualifiers including Jonathan Bush and Ken Capron, reinforced policy alignment on taxes and spending without major momentum shifts, underscoring the primary's competitive dynamics.

Robert Charles leads trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability to win Maine's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 9, driven by his consistent polling edge—around 28% in February surveys and self-reported double-digit leads in early March polls like those from UNH and Pine Tree State—bolstered by his national experience as former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State. A crowded field of eight candidates, marked by high voter unfamiliarity per Pan Atlantic Research's March poll, fragments support, positioning business outsiders Ben Midgley (14%) and David Jones (10.3%) as viable challengers amid recent ballot qualifications. Last week's Bangor debate, the first featuring all qualifiers including Jonathan Bush and Ken Capron, reinforced policy alignment on taxes and spending without major momentum shifts, underscoring the primary's competitive dynamics.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Maine" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Robert Charles" con 51%, seguido de "Ben Midgely" con 15%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 51¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Maine" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 11, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Maine", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Maine" es "Robert Charles" con 51%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ben Midgely" con 15%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Maine" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.