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Geopolítica·Israel

¿Mahmoud Abbas como presidente palestino por...?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Israel

¿Mahmoud Abbas como presidente palestino por...?

$96,772 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$96,772 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junio

$52,488 Vol.

22%

31 de diciembre

$44,284 Vol.

38%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas, now 90 and in power since 2005 despite his four-year term expiring in 2009, remains firmly entrenched amid ongoing domestic pressure for resignation and polls showing widespread Palestinian dissatisfaction. In October 2025, he designated deputy Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor in case of vacancy, signaling continuity plans. Abbas declared 2026 the "year of Palestinian democracy" in January, scheduling municipal elections for April followed by potential legislative and presidential polls, alongside first-ever PLO parliament elections called in February. Recent statements condemning Israeli actions in Gaza underscore his active role, with no verified health issues or removal efforts in the past 30 days; traders assess low near-term exit risk absent sudden escalation, no-confidence vote, or health event.

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas, now 90 and in power since 2005 despite his four-year term expiring in 2009, remains firmly entrenched amid ongoing domestic pressure for resignation and polls showing widespread Palestinian dissatisfaction. In October 2025, he designated deputy Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor in case of vacancy, signaling continuity plans. Abbas declared 2026 the "year of Palestinian democracy" in January, scheduling municipal elections for April followed by potential legislative and presidential polls, alongside first-ever PLO parliament elections called in February. Recent statements condemning Israeli actions in Gaza underscore his active role, with no verified health issues or removal efforts in the past 30 days; traders assess low near-term exit risk absent sudden escalation, no-confidence vote, or health event.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas, now 90 and in power since 2005 despite his four-year term expiring in 2009, remains firmly entrenched amid ongoing domestic pressure for resignation and polls showing widespread Palestinian dissatisfaction. In October 2025, he designated deputy Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor in case of vacancy, signaling continuity plans. Abbas declared 2026 the "year of Palestinian democracy" in January, scheduling municipal elections for April followed by potential legislative and presidential polls, alongside first-ever PLO parliament elections called in February. Recent statements condemning Israeli actions in Gaza underscore his active role, with no verified health issues or removal efforts in the past 30 days; traders assess low near-term exit risk absent sudden escalation, no-confidence vote, or health event.

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas, now 90 and in power since 2005 despite his four-year term expiring in 2009, remains firmly entrenched amid ongoing domestic pressure for resignation and polls showing widespread Palestinian dissatisfaction. In October 2025, he designated deputy Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor in case of vacancy, signaling continuity plans. Abbas declared 2026 the "year of Palestinian democracy" in January, scheduling municipal elections for April followed by potential legislative and presidential polls, alongside first-ever PLO parliament elections called in February. Recent statements condemning Israeli actions in Gaza underscore his active role, with no verified health issues or removal efforts in the past 30 days; traders assess low near-term exit risk absent sudden escalation, no-confidence vote, or health event.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Mahmoud Abbas como presidente palestino por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 38%, seguido de "30 de junio" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 38¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Mahmoud Abbas como presidente palestino por...?" ha generado $96.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Mahmoud Abbas como presidente palestino por...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Mahmoud Abbas como presidente palestino por...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 38%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de junio" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Mahmoud Abbas como presidente palestino por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.