France's hung National Assembly, stemming from President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, continues fueling instability with successive no-confidence votes ousting prime ministers Michel Barnier in December 2024 and François Bayrou in September 2025, leaving current PM Sébastien Lecornu vulnerable to similar threats amid budget impasse. Despite this parliamentary chaos, Macron has repeatedly vowed to serve his full second term until May 2027—term-limited from re-election—and confirmed on April 24, 2026, he will exit politics entirely afterward, quelling speculation of early resignation. Absent health issues, impeachment, or voluntary departure, constitutional barriers sustain trader consensus against premature exit before the 2027 presidential race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,959,388 Vol.
30 jun 2026
30 de junio de 2026
1%
$1,959,388 Vol.
30 de junio de 2026
$367,544 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.France's hung National Assembly, stemming from President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, continues fueling instability with successive no-confidence votes ousting prime ministers Michel Barnier in December 2024 and François Bayrou in September 2025, leaving current PM Sébastien Lecornu vulnerable to similar threats amid budget impasse. Despite this parliamentary chaos, Macron has repeatedly vowed to serve his full second term until May 2027—term-limited from re-election—and confirmed on April 24, 2026, he will exit politics entirely afterward, quelling speculation of early resignation. Absent health issues, impeachment, or voluntary departure, constitutional barriers sustain trader consensus against premature exit before the 2027 presidential race.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Volumen
$1,959,388Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.France's hung National Assembly, stemming from President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, continues fueling instability with successive no-confidence votes ousting prime ministers Michel Barnier in December 2024 and François Bayrou in September 2025, leaving current PM Sébastien Lecornu vulnerable to similar threats amid budget impasse. Despite this parliamentary chaos, Macron has repeatedly vowed to serve his full second term until May 2027—term-limited from re-election—and confirmed on April 24, 2026, he will exit politics entirely afterward, quelling speculation of early resignation. Absent health issues, impeachment, or voluntary departure, constitutional barriers sustain trader consensus against premature exit before the 2027 presidential race.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$1,959,388Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...France's hung National Assembly, stemming from President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, continues fueling instability with successive no-confidence votes ousting prime ministers Michel Barnier in December 2024 and François Bayrou in September 2025, leaving current PM Sébastien Lecornu vulnerable to similar threats amid budget impasse. Despite this parliamentary chaos, Macron has repeatedly vowed to serve his full second term until May 2027—term-limited from re-election—and confirmed on April 24, 2026, he will exit politics entirely afterward, quelling speculation of early resignation. Absent health issues, impeachment, or voluntary departure, constitutional barriers sustain trader consensus against premature exit before the 2027 presidential race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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