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Geopolítica·Corea Del Norte

¿Kim Jong Un como líder supremo de Corea del Norte para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Corea Del Norte

¿Kim Jong Un como líder supremo de Corea del Norte para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Sí

8% chance
Polymarket

$54,326 Vol.

Sí

8% chance
Polymarket

$54,326 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.North Korean leader Kim Jong Un's recent reappointment as president of state affairs by the Supreme People's Assembly on March 22-23, 2026, alongside a major cabinet reshuffle replacing 40% of members, has solidified his unchallenged authority, driving trader consensus to 92.5% against his removal by year-end. This follows the Ninth Workers' Party Congress in February, where he was reelected general secretary and outlined military and economic goals, countering persistent health rumors with public appearances promoting a "health revolution" including new hospitals. North Korea's opaque, hereditary system shows no signs of internal coups or defections, though sudden health crises or elite purges remain low-probability risks capable of shifting odds.

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un's recent reappointment as president of state affairs by the Supreme People's Assembly on March 22-23, 2026, alongside a major cabinet reshuffle replacing 40% of members, has solidified his unchallenged authority, driving trader consensus to 92.5% against his removal by year-end. This follows the Ninth Workers' Party Congress in February, where he was reelected general secretary and outlined military and economic goals, countering persistent health rumors with public appearances promoting a "health revolution" including new hospitals. North Korea's opaque, hereditary system shows no signs of internal coups or defections, though sudden health crises or elite purges remain low-probability risks capable of shifting odds.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.North Korean leader Kim Jong Un's recent reappointment as president of state affairs by the Supreme People's Assembly on March 22-23, 2026, alongside a major cabinet reshuffle replacing 40% of members, has solidified his unchallenged authority, driving trader consensus to 92.5% against his removal by year-end. This follows the Ninth Workers' Party Congress in February, where he was reelected general secretary and outlined military and economic goals, countering persistent health rumors with public appearances promoting a "health revolution" including new hospitals. North Korea's opaque, hereditary system shows no signs of internal coups or defections, though sudden health crises or elite purges remain low-probability risks capable of shifting odds.

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un's recent reappointment as president of state affairs by the Supreme People's Assembly on March 22-23, 2026, alongside a major cabinet reshuffle replacing 40% of members, has solidified his unchallenged authority, driving trader consensus to 92.5% against his removal by year-end. This follows the Ninth Workers' Party Congress in February, where he was reelected general secretary and outlined military and economic goals, countering persistent health rumors with public appearances promoting a "health revolution" including new hospitals. North Korea's opaque, hereditary system shows no signs of internal coups or defections, though sudden health crises or elite purges remain low-probability risks capable of shifting odds.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Kim Jong Un como líder supremo de Corea del Norte para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Kim Jong Un dejará de ser el Líder Supremo de Corea del Norte antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 8¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 8% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Kim Jong Un como líder supremo de Corea del Norte para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?" ha generado $54.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Kim Jong Un como líder supremo de Corea del Norte para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Kim Jong Un como líder supremo de Corea del Norte para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?" es "¿Kim Jong Un dejará de ser el Líder Supremo de Corea del Norte antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?" con solo 8%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Kim Jong Un como líder supremo de Corea del Norte para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.