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Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

Market icon

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$79,572 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$79,572 Vol.

This is a market will resolve to “Yes”, if Kamala Harris's favorable rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than her unfavorable rating for any day between August 27 (inclusive) and September 6, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Harris's favorable rating must be higher than her unfavorable rating, ties will not qualify.

The favorability ratings for each day must be finalized before they are considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/kamala-harris/, specifically the favorability rating indicated by the purple "favorable" trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve once the first data point after September 6, 2024, is published. If no such data point is available by September 13, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'No.'"

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$79,572
Fecha de finalización
Sep 6, 2024
Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2024, 8:25 PM ET
This is a market will resolve to “Yes”, if Kamala Harris's favorable rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than her unfavorable rating for any day between August 27 (inclusive) and September 6, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Harris's favorable rating must be higher than her unfavorable rating, ties will not qualify. The favorability ratings for each day must be finalized before they are considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/kamala-harris/, specifically the favorability rating indicated by the purple "favorable" trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve once the first data point after September 6, 2024, is published. If no such data point is available by September 13, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'No.'" Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This is a market will resolve to “Yes”, if Kamala Harris's favorable rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than her unfavorable rating for any day between August 27 (inclusive) and September 6, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Harris's favorable rating must be higher than her unfavorable rating, ties will not qualify.

The favorability ratings for each day must be finalized before they are considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/kamala-harris/, specifically the favorability rating indicated by the purple "favorable" trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve once the first data point after September 6, 2024, is published. If no such data point is available by September 13, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'No.'"

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$79,572
Fecha de finalización
Sep 6, 2024
Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2024, 8:25 PM ET
This is a market will resolve to “Yes”, if Kamala Harris's favorable rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than her unfavorable rating for any day between August 27 (inclusive) and September 6, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Harris's favorable rating must be higher than her unfavorable rating, ties will not qualify. The favorability ratings for each day must be finalized before they are considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/kamala-harris/, specifically the favorability rating indicated by the purple "favorable" trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve once the first data point after September 6, 2024, is published. If no such data point is available by September 13, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'No.'" Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Kamala positive favorability by Friday?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 0% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 0¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Kamala positive favorability by Friday?" ha generado $79.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 28, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Kamala positive favorability by Friday?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Kamala positive favorability by Friday?" es 0% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Kamala positive favorability by Friday?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.