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Irish Presidential Election: Catherine Connolly Margin of Victory

Market icon

Irish Presidential Election: Catherine Connolly Margin of Victory

>30 100.0%

<15 <1%

15–18 <1%

18–21 <1%

Polymarket

$115,194 Vol.

>30 100.0%

<15 <1%

15–18 <1%

18–21 <1%

Polymarket

$115,194 Vol.

<15

$47,801 Vol.

No

15–18

$10,004 Vol.

No

18–21

$8,090 Vol.

No

21–24

$5,407 Vol.

No

24–27

$12,609 Vol.

No

27–30

$12,742 Vol.

No

>30

$18,541 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory for Catherine Connolly in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election, scheduled to take place on October 24, 2025.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If Catherine Connolly does not receive the most votes in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Electoral Commission of Ireland (electoralcommission.ie).

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$115,194
Fecha de finalización
Oct 24, 2025
Mercado abierto
Oct 23, 2025, 7:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory for Catherine Connolly in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election, scheduled to take place on October 24, 2025. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If Catherine Connolly does not receive the most votes in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Electoral Commission of Ireland (electoralcommission.ie). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Irish Presidential Election: Catherine Connolly Margin of Victory " es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es ">30" con 100%, seguido de "<15" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Irish Presidential Election: Catherine Connolly Margin of Victory " ha generado $115.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 23, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Irish Presidential Election: Catherine Connolly Margin of Victory ", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Irish Presidential Election: Catherine Connolly Margin of Victory " es ">30" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<15" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Irish Presidential Election: Catherine Connolly Margin of Victory " definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.