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Geopolítica·Aceite

¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío antes del...?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Aceite

¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío antes del...?

$67,246 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$67,246 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de marzo

$53,541 Vol.

23%

15 de abril

$5,376 Vol.

48%

April 30

$8,329 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Escalating US-Israeli strikes on Iran since March 26 have prompted Yemen's Houthis to signal readiness for Red Sea shipping attacks, with rhetoric like "fingers on the trigger" and an Israeli-detected missile launch from Yemen on March 28 heightening risks despite a recent operational lull since early March incidents. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this tension, pricing in low near-term probabilities for successful kinetic strikes on commercial vessels amid paused disruptions that have slashed Suez Canal transits by 60% and sustained elevated container freight rates around $2,279 per 40ft (Drewry WCI, March 26). Baltic Dry Index holds near 2,031 points (March 27), buoyed by detour costs but pressured by vessel oversupply. Key catalysts include Iran conflict developments and US naval patrols through market resolution.

Escalating US-Israeli strikes on Iran since March 26 have prompted Yemen's Houthis to signal readiness for Red Sea shipping attacks, with rhetoric like "fingers on the trigger" and an Israeli-detected missile launch from Yemen on March 28 heightening risks despite a recent operational lull since early March incidents. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this tension, pricing in low near-term probabilities for successful kinetic strikes on commercial vessels amid paused disruptions that have slashed Suez Canal transits by 60% and sustained elevated container freight rates around $2,279 per 40ft (Drewry WCI, March 26). Baltic Dry Index holds near 2,031 points (March 27), buoyed by detour costs but pressured by vessel oversupply. Key catalysts include Iran conflict developments and US naval patrols through market resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Escalating US-Israeli strikes on Iran since March 26 have prompted Yemen's Houthis to signal readiness for Red Sea shipping attacks, with rhetoric like "fingers on the trigger" and an Israeli-detected missile launch from Yemen on March 28 heightening risks despite a recent operational lull since early March incidents. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this tension, pricing in low near-term probabilities for successful kinetic strikes on commercial vessels amid paused disruptions that have slashed Suez Canal transits by 60% and sustained elevated container freight rates around $2,279 per 40ft (Drewry WCI, March 26). Baltic Dry Index holds near 2,031 points (March 27), buoyed by detour costs but pressured by vessel oversupply. Key catalysts include Iran conflict developments and US naval patrols through market resolution.

Escalating US-Israeli strikes on Iran since March 26 have prompted Yemen's Houthis to signal readiness for Red Sea shipping attacks, with rhetoric like "fingers on the trigger" and an Israeli-detected missile launch from Yemen on March 28 heightening risks despite a recent operational lull since early March incidents. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this tension, pricing in low near-term probabilities for successful kinetic strikes on commercial vessels amid paused disruptions that have slashed Suez Canal transits by 60% and sustained elevated container freight rates around $2,279 per 40ft (Drewry WCI, March 26). Baltic Dry Index holds near 2,031 points (March 27), buoyed by detour costs but pressured by vessel oversupply. Key catalysts include Iran conflict developments and US naval patrols through market resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío antes del...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "April 30" con 52%, seguido de "15 de abril" con 48%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 52¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío antes del...?" ha generado $67.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío antes del...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío antes del...?" es "April 30" con 52%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "15 de abril" con 48%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío antes del...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.