Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 33°C (48.5%) in Singapore on March 26, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) most recent forecast models projecting peak afternoon temperatures around 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with moderate humidity and potential afternoon showers. The 32°C outcome at 35.5% reflects uncertainty from possible convective activity moderating heat, while higher thresholds like 34°C (14.5%) account for urban heat island amplification in this equatorial city-state. Lingering post-El Niño warmth has elevated March averages above the climatological 32.4°C baseline, with NEA observations from Changi Airport stations providing real-time data. Updated hourly forecasts expected midday could shift implied probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
33°C 47%
32°C 36%
34°C 15%
35°C 2.8%
$63,854 Vol.
$63,854 Vol.
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
36%
33°C
47%
34°C
15%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 47%
32°C 36%
34°C 15%
35°C 2.8%
$63,854 Vol.
$63,854 Vol.
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
36%
33°C
47%
34°C
15%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 33°C (48.5%) in Singapore on March 26, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) most recent forecast models projecting peak afternoon temperatures around 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with moderate humidity and potential afternoon showers. The 32°C outcome at 35.5% reflects uncertainty from possible convective activity moderating heat, while higher thresholds like 34°C (14.5%) account for urban heat island amplification in this equatorial city-state. Lingering post-El Niño warmth has elevated March averages above the climatological 32.4°C baseline, with NEA observations from Changi Airport stations providing real-time data. Updated hourly forecasts expected midday could shift implied probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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