Trader consensus on a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen on April 4 reflects strong alignment across latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensemble models including ECMWF and GFS, projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport amid overcast skies, moderate humidity around 80–90%, and intermittent rain showers that cap solar heating. Morning observations as of early April 4 show temperatures rising steadily from lows near 22°C, consistent with this trajectory and a recent shift from higher odds on 29°C+ following heavier precipitation signals over the past 48 hours. Historical early-April maxima average 26°C, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to 28°C, though model disagreement is minimal; airport data updates hourly through evening will confirm resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 4?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 4?
27°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$181,525 Vol.
$181,525 Vol.
4 abr 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$181,525 Vol.
$181,525 Vol.
4 abr 2026
19°C or below
$6,536 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,273 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,476 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,821 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,889 Vol.
No
24°C
$20,654 Vol.
No
25°C
$38,568 Vol.
No
26°C
$56,009 Vol.
No
27°C
$13,156 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$10,975 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$13,168 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen on April 4 reflects strong alignment across latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensemble models including ECMWF and GFS, projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport amid overcast skies, moderate humidity around 80–90%, and intermittent rain showers that cap solar heating. Morning observations as of early April 4 show temperatures rising steadily from lows near 22°C, consistent with this trajectory and a recent shift from higher odds on 29°C+ following heavier precipitation signals over the past 48 hours. Historical early-April maxima average 26°C, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to 28°C, though model disagreement is minimal; airport data updates hourly through evening will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volumen
$181,525Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:17 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen on April 4 reflects strong alignment across latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensemble models including ECMWF and GFS, projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport amid overcast skies, moderate humidity around 80–90%, and intermittent rain showers that cap solar heating. Morning observations as of early April 4 show temperatures rising steadily from lows near 22°C, consistent with this trajectory and a recent shift from higher odds on 29°C+ following heavier precipitation signals over the past 48 hours. Historical early-April maxima average 26°C, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to 28°C, though model disagreement is minimal; airport data updates hourly through evening will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$181,525Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:17 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen on April 4 reflects strong alignment across latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensemble models including ECMWF and GFS, projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport amid overcast skies, moderate humidity around 80–90%, and intermittent rain showers that cap solar heating. Morning observations as of early April 4 show temperatures rising steadily from lows near 22°C, consistent with this trajectory and a recent shift from higher odds on 29°C+ following heavier precipitation signals over the past 48 hours. Historical early-April maxima average 26°C, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to 28°C, though model disagreement is minimal; airport data updates hourly through evening will confirm resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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