Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shanghai high of 16°C at 70% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on peak afternoon temperatures around 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent developments include a stabilizing mid-level ridge over eastern China following a cold front passage earlier this week, limiting further warming while maintaining above-seasonal norms—Shanghai's March climatological average high is about 14–15°C. Diurnal heating peaks expected between 1–3 PM local time support the 16°C lead over 15°C and 17°C alternatives, though minor model divergences persist. Updated guidance due in the next 24 hours could refine these odds as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 27 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 27 de marzo?
16°C 72%
17°C 19%
18°C 1.5%
19°C <1%
$215,528 Vol.
$215,528 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
72%
17°C
19%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C o más
<1%
16°C 72%
17°C 19%
18°C 1.5%
19°C <1%
$215,528 Vol.
$215,528 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
13°C
$19,691 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$70,717 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$24,785 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$12,648 Vol.
72%
17°C
$15,259 Vol.
19%
18°C
$19,620 Vol.
2%
19°C
$11,245 Vol.
1%
20°C
$9,269 Vol.
1%
21°C o más
$14,595 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shanghai high of 16°C at 70% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on peak afternoon temperatures around 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent developments include a stabilizing mid-level ridge over eastern China following a cold front passage earlier this week, limiting further warming while maintaining above-seasonal norms—Shanghai's March climatological average high is about 14–15°C. Diurnal heating peaks expected between 1–3 PM local time support the 16°C lead over 15°C and 17°C alternatives, though minor model divergences persist. Updated guidance due in the next 24 hours could refine these odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volumen
$215,528Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shanghai high of 16°C at 70% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on peak afternoon temperatures around 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent developments include a stabilizing mid-level ridge over eastern China following a cold front passage earlier this week, limiting further warming while maintaining above-seasonal norms—Shanghai's March climatological average high is about 14–15°C. Diurnal heating peaks expected between 1–3 PM local time support the 16°C lead over 15°C and 17°C alternatives, though minor model divergences persist. Updated guidance due in the next 24 hours could refine these odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$215,528Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shanghai high of 16°C at 70% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on peak afternoon temperatures around 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent developments include a stabilizing mid-level ridge over eastern China following a cold front passage earlier this week, limiting further warming while maintaining above-seasonal norms—Shanghai's March climatological average high is about 14–15°C. Diurnal heating peaks expected between 1–3 PM local time support the 16°C lead over 15°C and 17°C alternatives, though minor model divergences persist. Updated guidance due in the next 24 hours could refine these odds as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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