Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on March 20, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which converge on mild conditions under partly cloudy skies with highs peaking mid-afternoon around 52°F at Central Park. Official National Weather Service outlooks confirm this, citing a weak upper-level trough yielding light southerly flow and no significant warm advection, aligning with climatological March norms where daily highs average 48°F. This positioning holds firm absent realistic challengers like an unforeseen coastal front boosting temps 5-10°F or a stalled cold pool dropping below 50°F, both low-probability outliers per model spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 20 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 20 de marzo?
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F o menos <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
43°F o menos
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
Sí
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F o más
No
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F o menos <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
43°F o menos
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
Sí
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on March 20, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which converge on mild conditions under partly cloudy skies with highs peaking mid-afternoon around 52°F at Central Park. Official National Weather Service outlooks confirm this, citing a weak upper-level trough yielding light southerly flow and no significant warm advection, aligning with climatological March norms where daily highs average 48°F. This positioning holds firm absent realistic challengers like an unforeseen coastal front boosting temps 5-10°F or a stalled cold pool dropping below 50°F, both low-probability outliers per model spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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