Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 6°C (38%) as Munich's highest temperature on March 26, reflecting ensemble forecast divergence from leading models like ECMWF (mean ~5.8°C), GFS (~5.2°C), and ICON (~6.9°C), per recent 00Z runs from DWD and international centers. Persistent northerly airflow and variable stratocumulus cloud cover introduce ~1-2°C uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation, differentiating outcomes amid a cooler-than-average March anomaly (historical high ~10°C). Short-range refinements expected by evening could shift odds, with official airport observations at Munich (EDDM) resolving the market. Baseline stability favors mild moderation if high-pressure builds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on March 26?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 26?
6°C 39%
5°C 31%
7°C 22%
4°C 5%
$16,445 Vol.
$16,445 Vol.
-1°C or below
<1%
0°C
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
1%
4°C
5%
5°C
31%
6°C
39%
7°C
22%
8°C
2%
9°C or higher
2%
6°C 39%
5°C 31%
7°C 22%
4°C 5%
$16,445 Vol.
$16,445 Vol.
-1°C or below
<1%
0°C
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
1%
4°C
5%
5°C
31%
6°C
39%
7°C
22%
8°C
2%
9°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 6°C (38%) as Munich's highest temperature on March 26, reflecting ensemble forecast divergence from leading models like ECMWF (mean ~5.8°C), GFS (~5.2°C), and ICON (~6.9°C), per recent 00Z runs from DWD and international centers. Persistent northerly airflow and variable stratocumulus cloud cover introduce ~1-2°C uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation, differentiating outcomes amid a cooler-than-average March anomaly (historical high ~10°C). Short-range refinements expected by evening could shift odds, with official airport observations at Munich (EDDM) resolving the market. Baseline stability favors mild moderation if high-pressure builds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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