Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 15–17°C for Munich's highest temperature on April 8, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON model and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maxima in this range under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds. Recent runs over the past 48 hours show improved agreement after earlier spread, as a weak upper-level ridge over central Europe enables mild temperature advection while a northern cold pool limits extremes. Differentiating factors include potential cloud development timing—favoring 17°C with more sun versus 15°C under thicker overcast—and boundary layer mixing, with historical early-April averages near 14°C providing baseline context. New 12Z model updates expected today could refine probabilities further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on April 8?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 8?
16°C 22%
17°C 21%
18°C 19%
15°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 abr 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
7%
15°C
17%
16°C
26%
17°C
21%
18°C
19%
19°C
12%
20°C or higher
10%
16°C 22%
17°C 21%
18°C 19%
15°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 abr 2026
10°C or below
$269 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$517 Vol.
2%
12°C
$552 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,748 Vol.
3%
14°C
$167 Vol.
7%
15°C
$167 Vol.
17%
16°C
$113 Vol.
26%
17°C
$161 Vol.
21%
18°C
$167 Vol.
19%
19°C
$170 Vol.
12%
20°C or higher
$140 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 15–17°C for Munich's highest temperature on April 8, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON model and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maxima in this range under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds. Recent runs over the past 48 hours show improved agreement after earlier spread, as a weak upper-level ridge over central Europe enables mild temperature advection while a northern cold pool limits extremes. Differentiating factors include potential cloud development timing—favoring 17°C with more sun versus 15°C under thicker overcast—and boundary layer mixing, with historical early-April averages near 14°C providing baseline context. New 12Z model updates expected today could refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$4,172Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 15–17°C for Munich's highest temperature on April 8, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON model and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maxima in this range under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds. Recent runs over the past 48 hours show improved agreement after earlier spread, as a weak upper-level ridge over central Europe enables mild temperature advection while a northern cold pool limits extremes. Differentiating factors include potential cloud development timing—favoring 17°C with more sun versus 15°C under thicker overcast—and boundary layer mixing, with historical early-April averages near 14°C providing baseline context. New 12Z model updates expected today could refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,172Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 15–17°C for Munich's highest temperature on April 8, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON model and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maxima in this range under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds. Recent runs over the past 48 hours show improved agreement after earlier spread, as a weak upper-level ridge over central Europe enables mild temperature advection while a northern cold pool limits extremes. Differentiating factors include potential cloud development timing—favoring 17°C with more sun versus 15°C under thicker overcast—and boundary layer mixing, with historical early-April averages near 14°C providing baseline context. New 12Z model updates expected today could refine probabilities further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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