Latest National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 78°F for downtown Los Angeles on April 8 under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies with light winds, positioning the 76°F or higher outcome at 43% market-implied probability as trader consensus on above-climatological norms (average ~72°F). This reflects high-confidence guidance from the April 4 Area Forecast Discussion, where GFS and ECMWF models align on progressive heating through the weekend following a recent cool, breezy spell and record-warm March trends exacerbating early spring anomalies. The 70-71°F bin at 24.5% hedges against persistent marine layer stratus delaying boundary layer clearing, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected onshore flow strengthening. Daily 00z/12z model runs will provide key updates ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 8?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 8?
76°F or higher 43%
70-71°F 24%
68-69°F 16%
72-73°F 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 abr 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
12%
76°F or higher
43%
76°F or higher 43%
70-71°F 24%
68-69°F 16%
72-73°F 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 abr 2026
57°F or below
$359 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$239 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$259 Vol.
4%
62-63°F
$612 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$175 Vol.
7%
66-67°F
$106 Vol.
8%
68-69°F
$63 Vol.
16%
70-71°F
$79 Vol.
24%
72-73°F
$55 Vol.
15%
74-75°F
$79 Vol.
12%
76°F or higher
$243 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 78°F for downtown Los Angeles on April 8 under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies with light winds, positioning the 76°F or higher outcome at 43% market-implied probability as trader consensus on above-climatological norms (average ~72°F). This reflects high-confidence guidance from the April 4 Area Forecast Discussion, where GFS and ECMWF models align on progressive heating through the weekend following a recent cool, breezy spell and record-warm March trends exacerbating early spring anomalies. The 70-71°F bin at 24.5% hedges against persistent marine layer stratus delaying boundary layer clearing, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected onshore flow strengthening. Daily 00z/12z model runs will provide key updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$2,268Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 78°F for downtown Los Angeles on April 8 under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies with light winds, positioning the 76°F or higher outcome at 43% market-implied probability as trader consensus on above-climatological norms (average ~72°F). This reflects high-confidence guidance from the April 4 Area Forecast Discussion, where GFS and ECMWF models align on progressive heating through the weekend following a recent cool, breezy spell and record-warm March trends exacerbating early spring anomalies. The 70-71°F bin at 24.5% hedges against persistent marine layer stratus delaying boundary layer clearing, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected onshore flow strengthening. Daily 00z/12z model runs will provide key updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,268Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 78°F for downtown Los Angeles on April 8 under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies with light winds, positioning the 76°F or higher outcome at 43% market-implied probability as trader consensus on above-climatological norms (average ~72°F). This reflects high-confidence guidance from the April 4 Area Forecast Discussion, where GFS and ECMWF models align on progressive heating through the weekend following a recent cool, breezy spell and record-warm March trends exacerbating early spring anomalies. The 70-71°F bin at 24.5% hedges against persistent marine layer stratus delaying boundary layer clearing, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected onshore flow strengthening. Daily 00z/12z model runs will provide key updates ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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