Trader sentiment clusters around mild highs of 24–27°C for Buenos Aires on March 21, with 24°C or below leading at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks near 25°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Autumnal cooling in the Southern Hemisphere, following recent daily maxima of 23–25°C, reinforces this, as cooler South Atlantic air masses suppress heat advection. Historical March averages hover at 24°C, and no heat dome or föhn winds are evident in upper-air analyses, keeping hotter outcomes under 5% despite minor model divergences. Key watch: SMN's 12Z update for resolution tweaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 21 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 21 de marzo?
24°C o menos 45%
26°C 23%
25°C 16%
27°C 13%
24°C o menos
37%
25°C
16%
26°C
23%
27°C
13%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C o más
1%
24°C o menos 45%
26°C 23%
25°C 16%
27°C 13%
24°C o menos
37%
25°C
16%
26°C
23%
27°C
13%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around mild highs of 24–27°C for Buenos Aires on March 21, with 24°C or below leading at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks near 25°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Autumnal cooling in the Southern Hemisphere, following recent daily maxima of 23–25°C, reinforces this, as cooler South Atlantic air masses suppress heat advection. Historical March averages hover at 24°C, and no heat dome or föhn winds are evident in upper-air analyses, keeping hotter outcomes under 5% despite minor model divergences. Key watch: SMN's 12Z update for resolution tweaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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