Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 25°C in Beijing on March 26, with 99.7% implied probability, reflecting locked-in forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by China Meteorological Administration advisories. Recent observations show Beijing basking in a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern China, delivering unseasonably warm air masses with daytime highs stabilizing around 24-26°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover in the past 48 hours. Historical March climatology averages 12-15°C highs, but this year's early spring heatwave—driven by weakened Siberian cold outbreaks—has pushed anomalies 8-10°C above normal. Barring an unforeseen cold front or dense fog altering surface heating, official station measurements at Beijing Capital International Airport are poised to confirm 25°C; watch for final 12-hour forecast updates from CMA for any micro-adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on March 26?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 26?
25°C 99.5%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$143,655 Vol.
$143,655 Vol.
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.5%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$143,655 Vol.
$143,655 Vol.
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 25°C in Beijing on March 26, with 99.7% implied probability, reflecting locked-in forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by China Meteorological Administration advisories. Recent observations show Beijing basking in a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern China, delivering unseasonably warm air masses with daytime highs stabilizing around 24-26°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover in the past 48 hours. Historical March climatology averages 12-15°C highs, but this year's early spring heatwave—driven by weakened Siberian cold outbreaks—has pushed anomalies 8-10°C above normal. Barring an unforeseen cold front or dense fog altering surface heating, official station measurements at Beijing Capital International Airport are poised to confirm 25°C; watch for final 12-hour forecast updates from CMA for any micro-adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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