Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads Polymarket's trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for 2026's highest-grossing film, propelled by its record-shattering trailer debut last week that amassed over 1 billion views in four days—the first for any movie—surpassing Deadpool & Wolverine's benchmark and igniting unprecedented presales tracking on platforms like TheQuorum. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie trails closely at 29.5%, buoyed by the franchise's $1.3 billion precedent from 2023's The Super Mario Bros. Movie and its family-friendly Easter-weekend slot on April 1, with final trailer buzz amplifying streaming metrics for prior entries. Avengers: Doomsday holds 14.5% amid industry forecasts of blockbuster potential despite a crowded December release against Dune: Messiah, while early-year performers like Project Hail Mary ($300M+ worldwide) fade as traders bet on summer tentpole legs; watch Mario's opening and Spider-Man's escalating hype for momentum shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La película más taquillera de 2026?
¿La película más taquillera de 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 42%
La película de Super Mario Galaxy 30%
Avengers: Doomsday 15%
La Odisea 4.5%
$2,556,151 Vol.
$2,556,151 Vol.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
42%
La película de Super Mario Galaxy
30%
Avengers: Doomsday
15%
La Odisea
4%
Toy Story 5
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
2%
Michael
1%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Los Juegos del Hambre: Amanecer en la Cosecha
1%
Proyecto Hail Mary
<1%
Cumbres Borrascosas
<1%
Jumanji 3
<1%
Wicked: For Good
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 42%
La película de Super Mario Galaxy 30%
Avengers: Doomsday 15%
La Odisea 4.5%
$2,556,151 Vol.
$2,556,151 Vol.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
42%
La película de Super Mario Galaxy
30%
Avengers: Doomsday
15%
La Odisea
4%
Toy Story 5
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
2%
Michael
1%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Los Juegos del Hambre: Amanecer en la Cosecha
1%
Proyecto Hail Mary
<1%
Cumbres Borrascosas
<1%
Jumanji 3
<1%
Wicked: For Good
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads Polymarket's trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for 2026's highest-grossing film, propelled by its record-shattering trailer debut last week that amassed over 1 billion views in four days—the first for any movie—surpassing Deadpool & Wolverine's benchmark and igniting unprecedented presales tracking on platforms like TheQuorum. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie trails closely at 29.5%, buoyed by the franchise's $1.3 billion precedent from 2023's The Super Mario Bros. Movie and its family-friendly Easter-weekend slot on April 1, with final trailer buzz amplifying streaming metrics for prior entries. Avengers: Doomsday holds 14.5% amid industry forecasts of blockbuster potential despite a crowded December release against Dune: Messiah, while early-year performers like Project Hail Mary ($300M+ worldwide) fade as traders bet on summer tentpole legs; watch Mario's opening and Spider-Man's escalating hype for momentum shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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