The recent reveal of the First Semi-Final running order on April 2 has sharpened trader focus for the May 12 showdown at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 countries vie for 10 final spots alongside auto-qualifiers Germany and Italy. Sweden's Felicia with "My System" opens strong in position 2, bolstering its frontrunner status per prediction models like The Model, while Finland's "Liekinheitin" in slot 7 and Israel's "Michelle" at 10 draw optimism from historical qualification rates favoring mid-early positions. Georgia, Croatia, and Greece entries also generate buzz amid completed national selections, though running order clusters like Denmark-Australia-Ukraine sequences spark debate on vote dilution. Rehearsals begin mid-April, with staging reveals and jury insights poised to sway sentiment ahead of the public-jury hybrid vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoEurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal
Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal
$415,442 Vol.
12 may 2026
Finlandia
98%
Suecia
94%
Grecia
94%
Israel
92%
Moldavia
84%
Serbia
77%
Croacia
76%
Lituania
69%
Polonia
54%
Montenegro
48%
Bélgica
48%
Georgia
47%
Portugal
32%
Estonia
23%
San Marino
13%
$415,442 Vol.
Finlandia
$328,585 Vol.
98%
Suecia
$1,468 Vol.
94%
Grecia
$4,030 Vol.
94%
Israel
$19,555 Vol.
92%
Moldavia
$1,434 Vol.
84%
Serbia
$1,452 Vol.
77%
Croacia
$3,598 Vol.
76%
Lituania
$2,591 Vol.
69%
Polonia
$7,240 Vol.
54%
Montenegro
$1,414 Vol.
48%
Bélgica
$6,233 Vol.
48%
Georgia
$166 Vol.
47%
Portugal
$30,880 Vol.
32%
Estonia
$1,748 Vol.
23%
San Marino
$5,045 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The recent reveal of the First Semi-Final running order on April 2 has sharpened trader focus for the May 12 showdown at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 countries vie for 10 final spots alongside auto-qualifiers Germany and Italy. Sweden's Felicia with "My System" opens strong in position 2, bolstering its frontrunner status per prediction models like The Model, while Finland's "Liekinheitin" in slot 7 and Israel's "Michelle" at 10 draw optimism from historical qualification rates favoring mid-early positions. Georgia, Croatia, and Greece entries also generate buzz amid completed national selections, though running order clusters like Denmark-Australia-Ukraine sequences spark debate on vote dilution. Rehearsals begin mid-April, with staging reveals and jury insights poised to sway sentiment ahead of the public-jury hybrid vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Volumen
$415,442Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The recent reveal of the First Semi-Final running order on April 2 has sharpened trader focus for the May 12 showdown at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 countries vie for 10 final spots alongside auto-qualifiers Germany and Italy. Sweden's Felicia with "My System" opens strong in position 2, bolstering its frontrunner status per prediction models like The Model, while Finland's "Liekinheitin" in slot 7 and Israel's "Michelle" at 10 draw optimism from historical qualification rates favoring mid-early positions. Georgia, Croatia, and Greece entries also generate buzz amid completed national selections, though running order clusters like Denmark-Australia-Ukraine sequences spark debate on vote dilution. Rehearsals begin mid-April, with staging reveals and jury insights poised to sway sentiment ahead of the public-jury hybrid vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$415,442Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent reveal of the First Semi-Final running order on April 2 has sharpened trader focus for the May 12 showdown at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 countries vie for 10 final spots alongside auto-qualifiers Germany and Italy. Sweden's Felicia with "My System" opens strong in position 2, bolstering its frontrunner status per prediction models like The Model, while Finland's "Liekinheitin" in slot 7 and Israel's "Michelle" at 10 draw optimism from historical qualification rates favoring mid-early positions. Georgia, Croatia, and Greece entries also generate buzz amid completed national selections, though running order clusters like Denmark-Australia-Ukraine sequences spark debate on vote dilution. Rehearsals begin mid-April, with staging reveals and jury insights poised to sway sentiment ahead of the public-jury hybrid vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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