Trader consensus slightly favors Gregg Poole at 46% implied probability in the GA-09 Republican primary, with incumbent Andrew Clyde at 40.5% and Sam Couvillon at 39.5%, capturing a tight three-way race confirmed by recent polls showing single-digit spreads amid high undecideds. Clyde benefits from President Trump's March endorsement and superior fundraising, but challengers Poole and Couvillon have gained traction by highlighting conservative policy differences and Clyde's legislative votes, energizing the district's rural base. Early voting trends and any final debate clashes could separate contenders before the May 21 ballot, as turnout among Trump-aligned voters proves decisive in this safe Republican seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGA-09 Republican Primary Winner
GA-09 Republican Primary Winner
Gregg Poole 46%
Andrew Clyde 32%
Sam Couvillon 27%
Gregg Poole
46%
Andrew Clyde
32%
Sam Couvillon
27%
Gregg Poole 46%
Andrew Clyde 32%
Sam Couvillon 27%
Gregg Poole
46%
Andrew Clyde
32%
Sam Couvillon
27%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Gregg Poole at 46% implied probability in the GA-09 Republican primary, with incumbent Andrew Clyde at 40.5% and Sam Couvillon at 39.5%, capturing a tight three-way race confirmed by recent polls showing single-digit spreads amid high undecideds. Clyde benefits from President Trump's March endorsement and superior fundraising, but challengers Poole and Couvillon have gained traction by highlighting conservative policy differences and Clyde's legislative votes, energizing the district's rural base. Early voting trends and any final debate clashes could separate contenders before the May 21 ballot, as turnout among Trump-aligned voters proves decisive in this safe Republican seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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