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Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

$37,012 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$37,012 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Finland

$17,212 Vol.

84%

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Greece

$1,490 Vol.

59%

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Israel

$6,360 Vol.

59%

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Denmark

$5,736 Vol.

59%

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France

$372 Vol.

57%

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Australia

$0 Vol.

53%

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Sweden

$0 Vol.

41%

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Ukraine

$0 Vol.

38%

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Romania

$169 Vol.

31%

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Italy

$0 Vol.

33%

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Malta

$3,181 Vol.

26%

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Czechia

$0 Vol.

18%

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Cyprus

$585 Vol.

17%

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Bulgaria

$124 Vol.

16%

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Moldova

$18 Vol.

15%

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Armenia

$134 Vol.

15%

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Croatia

$0 Vol.

14%

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Georgia

$0 Vol.

14%

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Germany

$37 Vol.

13%

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Norway

$407 Vol.

13%

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Montenegro

$0 Vol.

12%

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Poland

$0 Vol.

11%

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Austria

$203 Vol.

11%

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Serbia

$151 Vol.

11%

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Albania

$0 Vol.

10%

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United Kingdom

$0 Vol.

10%

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San Marino

$0 Vol.

10%

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Latvia

$0 Vol.

10%

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Luxembourg

$135 Vol.

10%

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Belgium

$356 Vol.

9%

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Portugal

$0 Vol.

8%

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Azerbaijan

$0 Vol.

8%

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Estonia

$0 Vol.

8%

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Switzerland

$0 Vol.

11%

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Lithuania

$342 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With most national selections for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 now complete, trader consensus on the Top 5 market centers on Nordic powerhouses like Finland's violin-driven 'Liekinheitin' by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which leads betting models after standout previews, alongside Denmark and Sweden's polished pop entries. France holds steady with broad appeal, while Greece surges on viral social buzz and Israel's televote strength persists despite jury skepticism. Recent forecasts highlight jury-public splits as a key risk, with Sweden's early "My System" momentum fading slightly. Vienna hosts the semis on May 12/14 and final on 16; watch Eurovision in Concert on April 11 and rehearsals for staging breakthroughs that could reshape implied probabilities amid high unpredictability.

With most national selections for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 now complete, trader consensus on the Top 5 market centers on Nordic powerhouses like Finland's violin-driven 'Liekinheitin' by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which leads betting models after standout previews, alongside Denmark and Sweden's polished pop entries. France holds steady with broad appeal, while Greece surges on viral social buzz and Israel's televote strength persists despite jury skepticism. Recent forecasts highlight jury-public splits as a key risk, with Sweden's early "My System" momentum fading slightly. Vienna hosts the semis on May 12/14 and final on 16; watch Eurovision in Concert on April 11 and rehearsals for staging breakthroughs that could reshape implied probabilities amid high unpredictability.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With most national selections for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 now complete, trader consensus on the Top 5 market centers on Nordic powerhouses like Finland's violin-driven 'Liekinheitin' by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which leads betting models after standout previews, alongside Denmark and Sweden's polished pop entries. France holds steady with broad appeal, while Greece surges on viral social buzz and Israel's televote strength persists despite jury skepticism. Recent forecasts highlight jury-public splits as a key risk, with Sweden's early "My System" momentum fading slightly. Vienna hosts the semis on May 12/14 and final on 16; watch Eurovision in Concert on April 11 and rehearsals for staging breakthroughs that could reshape implied probabilities amid high unpredictability.

With most national selections for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 now complete, trader consensus on the Top 5 market centers on Nordic powerhouses like Finland's violin-driven 'Liekinheitin' by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which leads betting models after standout previews, alongside Denmark and Sweden's polished pop entries. France holds steady with broad appeal, while Greece surges on viral social buzz and Israel's televote strength persists despite jury skepticism. Recent forecasts highlight jury-public splits as a key risk, with Sweden's early "My System" momentum fading slightly. Vienna hosts the semis on May 12/14 and final on 16; watch Eurovision in Concert on April 11 and rehearsals for staging breakthroughs that could reshape implied probabilities amid high unpredictability.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Eurovision 2026: Top 5" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finland" con 84%, seguido de "Greece" con 59%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 84¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" ha generado $37K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 9, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Eurovision 2026: Top 5", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" es "Finland" con 84%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Greece" con 59%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.