Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post count for March 27 to April 3 closely splits between 240-259 (15.4% implied probability) and 260-279 (15.0%), reflecting his moderated late-March pace of 25-30 tweets daily per verified trackers like XTracker and MuskMeter. After 28 tweets on March 27, 27 on March 28, and minimal activity on the 29th so far, the early trajectory projects 235-252 total, but variability looms large with five days left. Quiet weekends without viral controversies or SpaceX/Tesla launches keep odds tight; midweek catalysts like FSD Europe buzz or Grok enhancements could spike volume toward 280+, while sustained routine updates favor the lower bin. Crowdsourced bets highlight this unpredictable cadence in Musk's pop culture dominance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado240-259 15.3%
260-279 15%
280-299 13%
220-239 12.0%
$8,299,896 Vol.
$8,299,896 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
7%
220-239
12%
240-259
15%
260-279
15%
280-299
13%
300-319
11%
320-339
8%
340-359
7%
360-379
3%
380-399
2%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 15.3%
260-279 15%
280-299 13%
220-239 12.0%
$8,299,896 Vol.
$8,299,896 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
7%
220-239
12%
240-259
15%
260-279
15%
280-299
13%
300-319
11%
320-339
8%
340-359
7%
360-379
3%
380-399
2%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post count for March 27 to April 3 closely splits between 240-259 (15.4% implied probability) and 260-279 (15.0%), reflecting his moderated late-March pace of 25-30 tweets daily per verified trackers like XTracker and MuskMeter. After 28 tweets on March 27, 27 on March 28, and minimal activity on the 29th so far, the early trajectory projects 235-252 total, but variability looms large with five days left. Quiet weekends without viral controversies or SpaceX/Tesla launches keep odds tight; midweek catalysts like FSD Europe buzz or Grok enhancements could spike volume toward 280+, while sustained routine updates favor the lower bin. Crowdsourced bets highlight this unpredictable cadence in Musk's pop culture dominance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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