Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs the 65-89 tweet range at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from March 26 to 28, 2026, anchored by verified real-time tallies confirming 76 posts to date amid the market's imminent resolution around noon ET today. Musk's steady cadence of 20-30 daily posts—fueled by viral commentary on Tesla FSD's European promise, Grok's accelerating smarts, and pointed political swipes at the uniparty—aligns with his established pattern as a pop culture provocateur driving massive engagement without disruptive spikes from launches or controversies. This skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom reflects X's transparent metrics, leaving slim upset paths like a final-hour frenzy exceeding 13 more posts or rare counting disputes over quotes and replies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$3,331,486 Vol.
$3,331,486 Vol.
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
Sí
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$3,331,486 Vol.
$3,331,486 Vol.
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
Sí
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs the 65-89 tweet range at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from March 26 to 28, 2026, anchored by verified real-time tallies confirming 76 posts to date amid the market's imminent resolution around noon ET today. Musk's steady cadence of 20-30 daily posts—fueled by viral commentary on Tesla FSD's European promise, Grok's accelerating smarts, and pointed political swipes at the uniparty—aligns with his established pattern as a pop culture provocateur driving massive engagement without disruptive spikes from launches or controversies. This skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom reflects X's transparent metrics, leaving slim upset paths like a final-hour frenzy exceeding 13 more posts or rare counting disputes over quotes and replies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes