Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from March 23-25, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by his historical average of 12-20 posts per day tracked over the past year via analytics sites like SocialBlade. Recent months show moderated activity post-2024 election spikes—averaging 15 daily amid fewer controversies and increased delegation to Grok AI—aligning with non-event weekdays rather than viral surges exceeding 50 posts. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects "wisdom of crowds" pricing for baseline engagement without scheduled Tesla launches or political catalysts. An upset to 65-89 would require unexpected breaking news, like a major SpaceX milestone or public feud, sparking his signature rapid-fire response style.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 25, 2026
<40
No
40-64
Sí
65-89
No
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 25, 2026
<40
$0 Vol.
No
40-64
$0 Vol.
Sí
65-89
$0 Vol.
No
90-114
$0 Vol.
No
115-139
$0 Vol.
No
140-164
$0 Vol.
No
165-189
$0 Vol.
No
190-214
$0 Vol.
No
215-239
$0 Vol.
No
240+
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 23 12:00 PM ET to March 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from March 23-25, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by his historical average of 12-20 posts per day tracked over the past year via analytics sites like SocialBlade. Recent months show moderated activity post-2024 election spikes—averaging 15 daily amid fewer controversies and increased delegation to Grok AI—aligning with non-event weekdays rather than viral surges exceeding 50 posts. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects "wisdom of crowds" pricing for baseline engagement without scheduled Tesla launches or political catalysts. An upset to 65-89 would require unexpected breaking news, like a major SpaceX milestone or public feud, sparking his signature rapid-fire response style.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 23 12:00 PM ET to March 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 25, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 21, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 23 12:00 PM ET to March 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from March 23-25, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by his historical average of 12-20 posts per day tracked over the past year via analytics sites like SocialBlade. Recent months show moderated activity post-2024 election spikes—averaging 15 daily amid fewer controversies and increased delegation to Grok AI—aligning with non-event weekdays rather than viral surges exceeding 50 posts. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects "wisdom of crowds" pricing for baseline engagement without scheduled Tesla launches or political catalysts. An upset to 65-89 would require unexpected breaking news, like a major SpaceX milestone or public feud, sparking his signature rapid-fire response style.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 23 12:00 PM ET to March 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 25, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 21, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from March 23-25, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by his historical average of 12-20 posts per day tracked over the past year via analytics sites like SocialBlade. Recent months show moderated activity post-2024 election spikes—averaging 15 daily amid fewer controversies and increased delegation to Grok AI—aligning with non-event weekdays rather than viral surges exceeding 50 posts. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects "wisdom of crowds" pricing for baseline engagement without scheduled Tesla launches or political catalysts. An upset to 65-89 would require unexpected breaking news, like a major SpaceX milestone or public feud, sparking his signature rapid-fire response style.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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